BX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 4.2% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.6% | 2.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +3.4% | 8.1% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 1.34 | 1.52 | +13.7% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +15.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.34 | 1.36 | +1.7% | -2.6% | -5.7% | +2.7% | -3.1% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 1.54 | 1.75 | +13.9% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -11.3% | -19.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.23 | 1.52 | +23.9% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -4.3% | -7.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.10 | 1.21 | +9.8% | +4.1% | +3.6% | -2.9% | -4.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +3.1% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +11.5% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.69 | +15.2% | +1.4% | -4.1% | -1.8% | -10.8% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.91 | 1.01 | +10.5% | +2.9% | +6.3% | +0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.98 | 0.96 | -2.3% | -1.9% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.97 | 0.98 | +1.3% | -1.7% | -2.3% | +2.5% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +16.9% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.94 | -7.3% | -4.8% | -7.9% | -2.0% | +11.4% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 0.92 | 0.93 | +0.6% | -3.1% | -0.6% | -3.9% | -8.2% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.8% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -5.2% | -9.6% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.95 | 1.07 | +13.1% | +1.7% | +5.6% | +6.6% | -4.1% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 1.00 | 1.06 | +6.5% | +0.3% | -4.2% | +11.2% | +9.1% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 1.44 | 1.49 | +3.6% | -2.6% | -3.2% | +4.7% | +5.5% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 1.05 | 1.55 | +47.0% | +4.8% | -6.5% | -3.8% | -4.5% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.40 | 1.71 | +22.2% | +4.4% | +6.8% | +12.6% | +7.1% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.92 | 1.28 | +39.3% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +10.5% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +5.1% | +2.4% | +4.1% | +6.0% | +2.9% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.76 | 0.96 | +26.9% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +7.9% | +9.4% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 0.91 | 1.13 | +24.7% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +7.4% | +6.2% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.1% | -2.0% | -3.0% | +9.3% | +20.4% |
| 2020-07-23 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -1.3% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -6.5% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -12.8% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +7.9% | +11.4% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% | +5.1% | -8.3% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.3% | +1.3% | +4.9% | +2.8% | +0.3% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.7% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +8.9% | +3.5% |
| 2019-04-18 miss | 0.56 | 0.44 | -21.5% | +8.5% | +7.5% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.