BX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 2.2% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +1.2% | 6.9% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 1.34 | 1.52 | +13.7% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +15.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.34 | 1.36 | +1.7% | -2.6% | -5.7% | +2.7% | -3.1% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 1.54 | 1.75 | +13.9% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -11.3% | -19.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.23 | 1.52 | +23.9% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -4.3% | -7.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.10 | 1.21 | +9.8% | +4.1% | +3.6% | -2.9% | -4.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +3.1% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +11.5% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.69 | +15.2% | +1.4% | -4.1% | -1.8% | -10.8% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.91 | 1.01 | +10.5% | +2.9% | +6.3% | +0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.98 | 0.96 | -2.3% | -1.9% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.97 | 0.98 | +1.3% | -1.7% | -2.3% | +2.5% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +16.9% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.94 | -7.3% | -4.8% | -7.9% | -2.0% | +11.4% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 0.92 | 0.93 | +0.6% | -3.1% | -0.6% | -3.9% | -8.2% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.8% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -5.2% | -9.6% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.95 | 1.07 | +13.1% | +1.7% | +5.6% | +6.6% | -4.1% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 1.00 | 1.06 | +6.5% | +0.3% | -4.2% | +11.2% | +9.1% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 1.44 | 1.49 | +3.6% | -2.6% | -3.2% | +4.7% | +5.5% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 1.05 | 1.55 | +47.0% | +4.8% | -6.5% | -3.8% | -4.5% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.40 | 1.71 | +22.2% | +4.4% | +6.8% | +12.6% | +7.1% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.92 | 1.28 | +39.3% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +10.5% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +5.1% | +2.4% | +4.1% | +6.0% | +2.9% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.76 | 0.96 | +26.9% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +7.9% | +9.4% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 0.91 | 1.13 | +24.7% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +7.4% | +6.2% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.1% | -2.0% | -3.0% | +9.3% | +20.4% |
| 2020-07-23 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -1.3% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -6.5% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -12.8% | +1.9% | +4.5% | +7.9% | +11.4% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% | +5.1% | -8.3% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.3% | +1.3% | +4.9% | +2.8% | +0.3% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.7% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +8.9% | +3.5% |
| 2019-04-18 miss | 0.56 | 0.44 | -21.5% | +8.5% | +7.5% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2019-01-31 miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -223.3% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.4% | +1.1% | -2.2% | -7.3% | -8.0% |
| 2018-07-19 beat | 0.74 | 0.90 | +20.9% | +0.8% | -1.6% | +1.0% | +1.6% |
| 2018-04-19 beat | 0.50 | 0.65 | +30.9% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -1.9% | -2.6% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.9% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -6.7% | -8.0% |
| 2017-10-19 beat | 0.55 | 0.69 | +24.9% | +1.2% | +1.6% | -0.7% | -6.6% |
| 2017-07-20 miss | 0.62 | 0.59 | -4.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -8.1% |
| 2017-04-20 beat | 0.68 | 0.82 | +20.2% | +3.0% | +0.5% | +2.5% | -1.2% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +3.3% | +1.4% | +1.9% | -1.3% | -4.5% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +19.4% | +2.4% | -0.2% | -5.9% | +1.9% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +12.6% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2016-04-21 miss | 0.39 | 0.31 | -20.9% | -0.3% | -4.1% | -1.6% | -9.8% |
| 2016-01-28 miss | 0.48 | 0.37 | -22.4% | -2.1% | -1.9% | +4.9% | +3.4% |
| 2015-10-15 miss | -0.26 | -0.35 | -33.3% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -2.1% | -10.1% |
| 2015-07-16 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -1.5% | +0.3% | +1.5% | -5.3% | -7.9% |
| 2015-04-16 beat | 1.04 | 1.37 | +31.5% | +2.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.91 | 1.25 | +36.6% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2014-10-16 miss | 0.72 | 0.66 | -7.8% | -6.6% | -0.6% | +3.5% | +10.3% |
| 2014-07-17 beat | 0.75 | 1.15 | +54.4% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +2.5% | -2.7% |
| 2014-04-17 beat | 0.56 | 0.70 | +24.5% | +3.3% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -5.0% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.83 | 1.35 | +62.5% | +6.1% | +4.2% | -3.0% | +1.4% |
| 2013-10-17 | 0.56 | 0.56 | — | -0.6% | +0.9% | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 0.49 | 0.62 | +26.6% | +2.8% | +6.4% | +0.8% | -7.0% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +4.5% | +1.7% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +17.4% |
| 2013-01-31 beat | 0.47 | 0.59 | +25.1% | +3.5% | +6.1% | -2.8% | +1.1% |
| 2012-10-18 beat | 0.41 | 0.55 | +33.7% | +1.7% | +4.5% | -2.4% | -6.4% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +65.6% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +7.4% | +5.1% |
| 2012-04-19 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -1.6% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -7.0% | -18.4% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.8% | +1.7% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -9.3% |
| 2011-10-20 miss | -0.02 | -0.31 | -1328.6% | -3.8% | +1.6% | +12.3% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.