BXMT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +1.1% | 4.6% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.3% | 5.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -12.2% | -3.5% | -8.7% | -7.5% | -8.3% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.35 | 0.21 | -40.3% | -3.0% | -4.6% | +1.1% | -4.2% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.27 | -2.07 | -866.7% | -1.2% | +2.0% | -3.6% | -7.2% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -12.5% | +3.0% | +3.5% | -1.9% | +3.7% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -28.1% | -1.7% | -3.8% | +0.1% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.28 | 0.17 | -39.3% | -0.6% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | -0.87 | -1.25 | -43.4% | -2.1% | +1.6% | +7.0% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +15.3% | -0.8% | +2.6% | -2.4% | -1.7% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.0% | -10.1% | -11.6% | +2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.44 | 0.33 | -24.9% | -5.9% | -4.6% | -2.7% | -6.5% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.4% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +2.9% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +12.8% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +2.5% | +12.3% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.79 | +19.7% | +1.7% | +5.0% | -5.3% | -10.0% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +6.1% | +3.9% | +4.9% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.0% | -0.3% | -4.2% | -0.4% | -18.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.3% | +2.4% | +2.9% | -3.0% | +2.0% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +0.1% | +0.3% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -2.4% | -0.3% | -1.2% | +2.4% | +0.7% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.62 | 0.78 | +25.6% | +1.8% | +3.3% | +1.6% | -0.7% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +2.4% | -4.7% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +2.7% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-28 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.8% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -1.2% |
| 2021-02-10 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -2.4% | +0.1% | -1.7% | -0.8% | +13.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +9.5% | +1.0% | +4.8% | +1.9% | +17.9% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +11.7% | +0.9% | +2.7% | -0.5% | -1.5% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.0% | +9.8% | +11.2% | -0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +2.6% | +1.5% | -25.3% |
| 2019-10-23 miss | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.1% | -0.4% | -2.1% | +1.4% | +0.2% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 0.69 | 0.62 | -9.8% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.