CAH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.9% | +2.1% | 6.6% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | +0.0% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +1.0% | 1.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +1.7% | 8.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 beat | 2.42 | 2.60 | +7.4% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.79 | 3.17 | +13.7% | -3.7% | -4.9% | -3.9% | +1.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.63 | +11.2% | +4.9% | +9.8% | -5.3% | -2.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.17 | 2.55 | +17.6% | +10.3% | +15.4% | +4.3% | +9.6% |
| 2025-08-12 beat | 2.03 | 2.08 | +2.4% | -10.6% | -7.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.15 | 2.35 | +9.4% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +1.2% | +6.7% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.93 | +9.4% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 1.62 | 1.88 | +15.9% | +4.0% | +7.0% | +3.8% | +6.1% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | 1.73 | 1.84 | +6.3% | +6.3% | +3.7% | +3.1% | +6.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.95 | 2.08 | +6.6% | -2.1% | +0.8% | -4.8% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.