CAH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 6.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.8% | 2.5% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.2% | 8.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 beat | 2.42 | 2.60 | +7.4% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.79 | 3.17 | +13.7% | -3.7% | -4.9% | -3.9% | +1.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.63 | +11.2% | +4.9% | +9.8% | -5.3% | -2.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.17 | 2.55 | +17.6% | +10.3% | +15.4% | +4.3% | +9.6% |
| 2025-08-12 beat | 2.03 | 2.08 | +2.4% | -10.6% | -7.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.15 | 2.35 | +9.4% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +1.2% | +6.7% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.93 | +9.4% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 1.62 | 1.88 | +15.9% | +4.0% | +7.0% | +3.8% | +6.1% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | 1.73 | 1.84 | +6.3% | +6.3% | +3.7% | +3.1% | +6.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.95 | 2.08 | +6.6% | -2.1% | +0.8% | -4.8% | -3.4% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.82 | +14.0% | -4.8% | -3.7% | -2.3% | +7.2% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 1.41 | 1.73 | +23.0% | +2.7% | +6.9% | +3.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 1.48 | 1.55 | +4.9% | +1.4% | -2.6% | -5.6% | -3.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.49 | 1.74 | +16.8% | -3.2% | -1.0% | +5.0% | +4.9% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.14 | 1.32 | +15.3% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +2.6% | -2.1% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 0.97 | 1.20 | +24.1% | +2.7% | +5.1% | -5.3% | -0.2% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 1.18 | 1.05 | -11.2% | -3.4% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +4.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 1.53 | 1.45 | -5.0% | -9.0% | -4.3% | -5.0% | -7.1% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.1% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | 1.35 | 1.29 | -4.3% | +1.7% | -0.6% | +1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 1.20 | 0.77 | -35.7% | -6.9% | -14.3% | +3.0% | +6.1% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 1.56 | 1.53 | -1.8% | -8.4% | -7.1% | -0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.74 | +20.3% | -1.4% | -3.1% | -4.4% | +0.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 1.14 | 1.51 | +32.7% | +4.2% | +7.3% | +5.5% | +4.4% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.6% | -8.9% | -7.8% | -1.3% | -6.4% |
| 2020-05-11 beat | 1.45 | 1.62 | +11.9% | +6.4% | +6.7% | -1.9% | +4.2% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 1.22 | 1.52 | +24.6% | +9.2% | +10.6% | +2.0% | -17.7% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 1.09 | 1.27 | +16.1% | +5.5% | +3.4% | +2.9% | +2.1% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +18.4% | +2.1% | +2.7% | -4.3% | +6.7% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 1.41 | 1.59 | +12.4% | -3.3% | +0.9% | -9.8% | -12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.