CB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 3.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 1.4% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.4% | 1.7% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.8% | 3.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 6.75 | 7.26 | +7.6% | -2.6% | -3.3% | +5.4% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 6.61 | 6.82 | +3.2% | -2.3% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 6.78 | 7.52 | +11.0% | +2.4% | +5.1% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 6.16 | 7.49 | +21.7% | +2.5% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +7.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 5.97 | 6.14 | +2.9% | -2.1% | -3.1% | -1.3% | +3.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.23 | 3.68 | +14.0% | -1.8% | -2.0% | +0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 5.45 | 6.02 | +10.5% | -1.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 4.99 | 5.72 | +14.6% | +0.9% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 5.15 | 5.38 | +4.4% | +1.8% | -1.2% | +6.0% | +4.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 5.30 | 5.41 | +2.1% | -3.7% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +8.3% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 5.12 | 5.54 | +8.1% | +1.7% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 4.42 | 4.95 | +12.1% | +1.7% | +2.0% | +2.2% | +5.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 4.42 | 4.92 | +11.3% | +5.4% | +5.3% | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 4.46 | 4.41 | -1.1% | +0.4% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 4.25 | 4.05 | -4.7% | -4.3% | -6.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.61 | 3.17 | +21.6% | +6.1% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +5.9% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 3.62 | 4.20 | +16.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +5.6% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 3.48 | 3.82 | +9.9% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 3.28 | 3.81 | +16.1% | +2.6% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.25 | 2.64 | +17.1% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.