CB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 37% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.0% | 3.3% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 6.75 | 7.26 | +7.6% | -2.6% | -3.3% | +5.4% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 6.61 | 6.82 | +3.2% | -2.3% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 6.78 | 7.52 | +11.0% | +2.4% | +5.1% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 6.16 | 7.49 | +21.7% | +2.5% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +7.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 5.97 | 6.14 | +2.9% | -2.1% | -3.1% | -1.3% | +3.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.23 | 3.68 | +14.0% | -1.8% | -2.0% | +0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 5.45 | 6.02 | +10.5% | -1.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 4.99 | 5.72 | +14.6% | +0.9% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 5.15 | 5.38 | +4.4% | +1.8% | -1.2% | +6.0% | +4.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 5.30 | 5.41 | +2.1% | -3.7% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +8.3% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 5.12 | 5.54 | +8.1% | +1.7% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 4.42 | 4.95 | +12.1% | +1.7% | +2.0% | +2.2% | +5.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 4.42 | 4.92 | +11.3% | +5.4% | +5.3% | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 4.46 | 4.41 | -1.1% | +0.4% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 4.25 | 4.05 | -4.7% | -4.3% | -6.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.61 | 3.17 | +21.6% | +6.1% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +5.9% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 3.62 | 4.20 | +16.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +5.6% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 3.48 | 3.82 | +9.9% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 3.28 | 3.81 | +16.1% | +2.6% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.25 | 2.64 | +17.1% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 3.02 | 3.62 | +20.1% | +2.2% | -1.9% | +3.7% | +11.0% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 2.49 | 2.52 | +1.4% | +0.8% | -1.5% | +4.4% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 2.82 | 3.18 | +12.7% | +0.9% | +3.1% | +5.8% | +10.5% |
| 2020-10-27 miss | 2.23 | 2.00 | -10.3% | +4.6% | +3.2% | +4.3% | +18.8% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | -0.39 | -0.56 | -42.5% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -3.2% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 2.57 | 2.68 | +4.1% | +1.7% | -5.5% | +5.5% | +6.5% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 2.15 | 2.28 | +5.9% | +3.9% | +7.1% | -0.9% | -12.4% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.61 | 2.70 | +3.6% | +0.5% | +3.2% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 2.56 | 2.60 | +1.5% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 2.56 | 2.54 | -0.8% | -1.9% | -0.7% | -1.0% | +1.3% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 2.00 | 2.02 | +0.8% | -2.1% | -3.4% | +2.0% | +1.9% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 2.36 | 2.41 | +1.9% | -4.9% | -1.4% | -0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2018-07-24 beat | 2.62 | 2.68 | +2.2% | -1.9% | +0.8% | +2.1% | -1.7% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 2.26 | 2.34 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +0.9% | -3.3% | -2.8% |
| 2018-01-30 miss | 2.30 | 2.28 | -0.9% | +0.8% | +2.0% | -5.5% | -10.4% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | -0.22 | -0.13 | +40.1% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 2.49 | 2.50 | +0.4% | +0.1% | -2.3% | +3.5% | -0.8% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 2.41 | 2.48 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | -1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 2.41 | 2.72 | +12.8% | -2.0% | -2.3% | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 2.58 | 2.88 | +11.8% | +1.6% | +3.7% | -1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 2.23 | 2.25 | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -0.9% |
| 2016-05-04 beat | 2.17 | 2.26 | +4.2% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 2.26 | 2.38 | +5.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +4.4% | +8.7% |
| 2015-10-20 beat | 2.37 | 2.74 | +15.4% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 2.28 | 2.40 | +5.1% | +2.2% | +2.6% | +1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 2.21 | 2.25 | +1.8% | -0.7% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 2.31 | 2.47 | +7.1% | +0.7% | -1.8% | +2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 2.36 | 2.64 | +11.9% | +0.7% | -0.8% | +2.4% | +6.5% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 2.23 | 2.42 | +8.6% | +0.5% | +1.1% | -2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 2.14 | 2.27 | +6.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2014-01-28 beat | 2.02 | 2.39 | +18.6% | -0.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +4.1% |
| 2013-10-22 beat | 2.23 | 2.49 | +11.7% | -2.5% | -1.5% | -0.1% | +5.4% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 1.95 | 2.29 | +17.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2013-04-22 beat | 1.93 | 2.17 | +12.5% | +1.3% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -0.5% |
| 2013-01-29 beat | 1.27 | 1.43 | +12.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% | +2.0% | +2.1% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 1.83 | 2.01 | +10.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -2.8% | -1.7% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 1.90 | 2.17 | +14.5% | +2.9% | +4.5% | +1.1% | +2.5% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 1.87 | 2.05 | +9.4% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2012-01-31 beat | 1.79 | 1.94 | +8.4% | +2.2% | +4.2% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 1.77 | 2.22 | +25.1% | +4.5% | +2.9% | +1.1% | -8.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.