CB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -1.2% | 2.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 1.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 1.6% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.1% | 3.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 6.75 | 7.26 | +7.6% | -2.6% | -3.3% | +5.4% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 6.61 | 6.82 | +3.2% | -2.3% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 6.78 | 7.52 | +11.0% | +2.4% | +5.1% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 6.16 | 7.49 | +21.7% | +2.5% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +7.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 5.97 | 6.14 | +2.9% | -2.1% | -3.1% | -1.3% | +3.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.23 | 3.68 | +14.0% | -1.8% | -2.0% | +0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 5.45 | 6.02 | +10.5% | -1.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 4.99 | 5.72 | +14.6% | +0.9% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 5.15 | 5.38 | +4.4% | +1.8% | -1.2% | +6.0% | +4.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 5.30 | 5.41 | +2.1% | -3.7% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +8.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.