CF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 4.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 3.0% | 52% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.8% | 6.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 5.57 | 4.73 | -15.1% | -4.0% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +14.2% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.66 | 2.89 | +8.7% | -4.7% | -0.9% | +3.6% | -7.8% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 2.47 | 3.06 | +23.9% | +1.2% | +3.8% | -2.3% | +25.6% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 2.07 | 2.19 | +5.6% | -2.2% | -4.2% | +3.5% | -5.1% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 2.47 | 2.39 | -3.4% | -6.3% | -7.8% | +2.9% | +1.9% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.50 | 1.98 | +31.6% | +4.4% | +0.8% | +6.0% | +14.2% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.51 | 1.79 | +18.1% | -1.2% | -4.2% | -0.8% | -4.3% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.16 | 1.55 | +34.3% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +10.6% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 1.91 | 2.30 | +20.5% | +5.3% | +8.5% | +0.3% | -1.3% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 1.62 | 1.03 | -36.3% | -1.9% | -5.3% | +0.6% | +9.0% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.6% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +4.7% | +12.0% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.14 | +12.6% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +0.0% | -8.0% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.15 | 2.71 | +26.3% | +4.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 2.54 | 2.55 | +0.5% | +0.4% | +2.9% | -8.5% | -18.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 4.20 | 4.55 | +8.4% | -2.0% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -14.9% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 3.50 | 2.18 | -37.8% | -5.5% | +2.0% | +3.1% | -1.7% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 5.79 | 6.15 | +6.2% | -0.5% | +3.9% | +4.5% | +5.4% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 4.39 | 4.11 | -6.4% | +0.5% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -6.0% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | 3.67 | 3.27 | -10.9% | -4.3% | +3.0% | +5.6% | +28.0% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.95 | 0.68 | -28.5% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +9.1% | +0.7% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | 1.58 | 1.15 | -27.3% | -1.5% | +1.6% | -4.7% | -5.1% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.56 | 0.70 | +25.6% | -2.9% | +4.2% | +2.7% | +6.5% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 0.15 | 0.42 | +182.3% | +0.6% | -2.6% | +6.4% | +9.8% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | 0.05 | -0.10 | -306.0% | -2.6% | +2.6% | +10.2% | +40.0% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.59 | 0.96 | +62.7% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +4.7% | -0.6% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +22.4% | +7.3% | +4.8% | -10.6% | +19.8% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.9% | -0.7% | -5.5% | +0.0% | -39.0% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.36 | 0.26 | -27.4% | -2.2% | -3.6% | +2.8% | +0.7% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.84 | 1.13 | +35.1% | +5.4% | +5.6% | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -12.8% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -5.3% | -4.7% |
| 2019-02-13 miss | 0.45 | 0.19 | -58.0% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +3.6% | -0.2% |
| 2018-10-31 miss | 0.17 | 0.10 | -42.1% | -0.1% | +6.3% | +5.1% | -14.1% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.46 | 0.63 | +37.0% | +6.6% | +12.2% | +0.5% | +4.9% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +0.9% | -4.2% | -2.0% | +3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | -0.08 | -0.02 | +74.4% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +7.9% | -7.8% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | -0.54 | -0.39 | +27.4% | +1.8% | +1.3% | -3.7% | -4.3% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +121.7% | -1.1% | +6.9% | +0.2% | -2.4% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +157.7% | +2.7% | +6.1% | +0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2017-02-15 miss | -0.11 | -0.39 | -256.6% | -2.3% | -2.8% | -7.1% | -9.3% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | -0.01 | 0.13 | +2203.6% | -4.6% | -8.5% | +20.0% | +26.5% |
| 2016-08-03 miss | 0.68 | 0.33 | -51.6% | -7.3% | -12.6% | +3.9% | +21.0% |
| 2016-05-04 miss | 0.46 | 0.40 | -12.3% | -3.5% | -4.1% | -9.5% | +1.2% |
| 2016-02-17 miss | 0.86 | 0.76 | -11.9% | +4.1% | +8.4% | -3.5% | +1.8% |
| 2015-11-04 miss | 0.73 | 0.49 | -32.9% | -6.1% | -9.5% | +0.6% | -7.7% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | 1.50 | 1.59 | +6.0% | +7.0% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -11.9% |
| 2015-05-06 beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +6.8% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +5.1% |
| 2015-02-17 beat | 1.01 | 1.13 | +11.7% | -2.4% | -0.8% | +3.7% | -2.1% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 0.69 | 0.52 | -23.8% | -4.4% | -0.8% | +6.2% | +4.9% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 1.29 | 1.22 | -5.8% | +0.4% | -3.7% | +1.5% | +3.8% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.89 | 2.58 | +188.6% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2014-02-18 beat | 0.91 | 1.01 | +11.3% | +4.7% | +5.1% | +2.8% | +5.8% |
| 2013-11-04 beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +6.2% | -2.6% | -3.7% | +4.2% | +12.5% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 1.53 | 1.71 | +11.8% | +1.6% | +0.2% | -1.0% | +2.3% |
| 2013-05-08 beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +1.8% | +0.2% | +2.2% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| 2013-02-19 beat | 1.38 | 1.45 | +5.5% | -0.7% | -5.2% | -4.0% | -6.4% |
| 2012-11-05 beat | 1.15 | 1.17 | +1.4% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -4.4% | +2.6% |
| 2012-08-06 | 1.74 | 1.74 | — | -0.4% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +3.3% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.97 | 1.21 | +24.4% | -1.6% | -6.9% | -6.4% | -9.3% |
| 2012-02-15 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +5.2% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +4.5% | +4.1% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 0.97 | 1.03 | +6.2% | +1.3% | +6.7% | -1.9% | -16.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.