CFG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +1.8% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.4% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +2.7% | 4.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 1.25 | 1.30 | +4.4% | +3.8% | +4.6% | -3.5% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 1.09 | 1.13 | +3.7% | -1.8% | -1.2% | +1.2% | -5.5% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 1.11 | 1.13 | +2.2% | +1.6% | +7.1% | -1.8% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +2.3% | +2.3% | -0.2% | -2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.1% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.7% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +5.6% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-17 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.3% | -1.1% | +1.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-16 miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.5% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +9.8% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +3.5% | -1.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.5% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +7.6% | +10.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.