CFG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +1.3% | 4.2% | 63% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.5% | 2.1% | 37% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.3% | 7.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 1.25 | 1.30 | +4.4% | +3.8% | +4.6% | -3.5% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 1.09 | 1.13 | +3.7% | -1.8% | -1.2% | +1.2% | -5.5% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 1.11 | 1.13 | +2.2% | +1.6% | +7.1% | -1.8% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +2.3% | +2.3% | -0.2% | -2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.1% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +0.9% | -1.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.7% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +5.6% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-17 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.3% | -1.1% | +1.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-16 miss | 0.79 | 0.79 | -0.5% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +9.8% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +3.5% | -1.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.5% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +7.6% | +10.6% |
| 2024-01-17 beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +1.2% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +6.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 0.91 | 0.89 | -2.7% | -5.1% | -5.6% | -8.3% | +5.8% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.3% | -0.1% | +6.4% | +4.7% | -8.7% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 1.13 | 1.10 | -2.5% | -4.3% | +0.2% | -4.4% | -13.6% |
| 2023-01-17 beat | 1.32 | 1.32 | +0.3% | -0.6% | -2.2% | +2.4% | +6.4% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.4% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +9.4% | +8.1% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 1.02 | 1.14 | +11.9% | +2.2% | +1.9% | -3.4% | +4.3% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 0.91 | 1.07 | +17.1% | +6.1% | +6.8% | -9.2% | -13.7% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 1.13 | 1.26 | +11.8% | +0.7% | -2.4% | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.15 | 1.22 | +5.7% | -1.2% | +3.6% | -6.4% | -1.5% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 1.14 | 1.46 | +28.6% | -4.0% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +0.5% |
| 2021-04-16 beat | 0.98 | 1.41 | +44.5% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +13.2% |
| 2021-01-20 beat | 0.88 | 1.04 | +17.9% | -0.4% | -1.8% | -12.2% | +6.0% |
| 2020-10-16 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -3.3% | -3.2% | -4.6% | +9.5% | +24.2% |
| 2020-07-17 beat | 0.15 | 0.55 | +256.4% | +4.8% | -1.2% | +1.7% | +1.2% |
| 2020-04-17 beat | 0.67 | 0.94 | +40.0% | +3.4% | +15.6% | +3.7% | +8.6% |
| 2020-01-17 beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +4.0% | +3.0% | +3.2% | -6.8% | -6.2% |
| 2019-10-18 beat | 0.96 | 0.98 | +1.9% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +7.6% |
| 2019-07-19 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.3% | +3.2% | +6.4% | +2.3% | -10.5% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.4% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.