CFR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +1.4% | 3.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.8% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 1.3% | 30% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.2% | 5.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.57 | 2.70 | +5.2% | +1.3% | -2.1% | +0.8% | -1.1% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.49 | 2.65 | +6.3% | -1.8% | +1.5% | -4.4% | -8.4% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.45 | 2.80 | +14.2% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +3.5% | +1.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.38 | 2.67 | +12.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.31 | 2.39 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -4.2% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.17 | 2.30 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.17 | 2.36 | +8.9% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.0% | +2.6% | -2.4% | +8.4% | +10.0% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.07 | 2.21 | +6.8% | +1.4% | +3.4% | -4.3% | -5.0% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 2.14 | 2.06 | -3.9% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -1.1% | -5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.