CFR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +1.6% | 4.1% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 2.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.7% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -1.1% | 6.3% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.57 | 2.70 | +5.2% | +1.3% | -2.1% | +0.8% | -1.1% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.49 | 2.65 | +6.3% | -1.8% | +1.5% | -4.4% | -8.4% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.45 | 2.80 | +14.2% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +3.5% | +1.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.38 | 2.67 | +12.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.31 | 2.39 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -4.2% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.17 | 2.30 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.17 | 2.36 | +8.9% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.0% | +2.6% | -2.4% | +8.4% | +10.0% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.07 | 2.21 | +6.8% | +1.4% | +3.4% | -4.3% | -5.0% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 2.14 | 2.06 | -3.9% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -1.1% | -5.4% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 2.09 | 2.18 | +4.4% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -5.3% | -1.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.15 | 2.38 | +10.9% | +1.4% | +10.1% | +3.0% | +7.7% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 2.40 | 2.47 | +3.1% | +3.7% | -7.6% | +0.9% | -11.2% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.55 | 2.70 | +5.8% | +2.0% | +6.6% | -15.3% | -4.5% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 2.76 | 2.91 | +5.5% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -3.5% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.23 | 2.59 | +16.3% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +4.4% | -1.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.77 | 1.81 | +2.5% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.48 | 1.50 | +1.7% | +0.7% | +2.7% | -4.8% | -8.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.34 | 1.54 | +15.1% | +2.8% | +4.0% | +2.3% | +3.6% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.52 | 1.65 | +8.7% | +0.1% | +3.0% | +1.2% | -1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.