CG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -3.5% | 5.1% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 3.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -3.2% | 8.6% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.91 | 1.07 | +18.0% | +3.0% | -1.6% | -3.2% | -4.2% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.92 | 0.89 | -2.8% | -1.4% | -3.5% | +2.1% | -11.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.01 | +1.7% | +11.0% | +6.0% | -7.2% | -17.5% |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 1.02 | 0.96 | -5.8% | -6.6% | -5.7% | -1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +3.7% | +4.7% | +4.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +19.9% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +13.9% | +12.9% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.95 | 0.92 | -3.3% | +0.4% | -3.7% | +5.9% | -18.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +7.0% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -2.4% | +0.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.83 | 0.78 | -5.8% | -10.1% | -7.5% | -3.6% | -6.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.4% | -8.2% | -8.5% | +1.2% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.