CG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -2.5% | 5.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | -0.8% | 4.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -1.6% | 8.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.91 | 1.07 | +18.0% | +3.0% | -1.6% | -3.2% | -4.2% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.92 | 0.89 | -2.8% | -1.4% | -3.5% | +2.1% | -11.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.01 | +1.7% | +11.0% | +6.0% | -7.2% | -17.5% |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 1.02 | 0.96 | -5.8% | -6.6% | -5.7% | -1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +3.7% | +4.7% | +4.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +19.9% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +13.9% | +12.9% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.95 | 0.92 | -3.3% | +0.4% | -3.7% | +5.9% | -18.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +7.0% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -2.4% | +0.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.83 | 0.78 | -5.8% | -10.1% | -7.5% | -3.6% | -6.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.4% | -8.2% | -8.5% | +1.2% | +4.9% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.9% | +5.6% | +8.6% | -0.5% | +7.0% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.6% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +8.3% | +23.6% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.67 | 0.88 | +31.5% | -9.4% | -7.2% | -3.3% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.67 | 0.63 | -6.2% | -6.0% | -13.5% | +2.7% | +10.6% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.96 | 1.01 | +4.7% | -2.1% | +0.2% | -2.9% | -8.9% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 1.07 | 1.42 | +33.3% | +0.0% | -7.7% | +14.8% | +12.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.04 | 1.17 | +12.6% | -0.8% | +5.5% | +2.3% | -11.8% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.02 | 0.74 | -27.2% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.18 | 2.01 | +70.4% | -2.2% | -7.8% | -0.6% | -18.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.00 | 1.54 | +53.5% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.