CHKP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.3% | -5.9% | 9.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 2.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 2.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | -6.1% | -8.6% | 9.3% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.45 | 2.55 | +4.2% | -11.9% | -8.2% | -2.3% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.40 | 2.50 | +4.0% | -12.2% | -19.6% | +2.7% | +23.6% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.77 | 3.40 | +22.9% | -6.5% | -6.8% | -3.3% | -7.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.45 | 3.94 | +60.7% | +8.8% | +6.2% | -5.8% | -9.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.36 | 2.37 | +0.3% | -6.9% | -14.5% | +0.8% | +2.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.19 | 2.21 | +1.1% | +0.8% | -3.8% | +7.5% | +10.1% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.65 | 2.70 | +1.7% | +4.7% | +7.4% | -3.0% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 2.25 | 2.25 | -0.1% | -9.1% | -14.5% | -3.8% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.16 | 2.17 | +0.5% | +2.9% | +5.9% | +1.9% | +5.7% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.01 | 2.04 | +1.7% | -4.2% | -5.0% | -2.3% | +1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.