CHKP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.7% | -2.0% | 6.7% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 1.4% | 37% |
| 5-day | -2.8% | -1.4% | 6.8% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.45 | 2.55 | +4.2% | -11.9% | -8.2% | -2.3% | +7.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.40 | 2.50 | +4.0% | -12.2% | -19.6% | +2.7% | +23.6% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.77 | 3.40 | +22.9% | -6.5% | -6.8% | -3.3% | -7.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.45 | 3.94 | +60.7% | +8.8% | +6.2% | -5.8% | -9.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.36 | 2.37 | +0.3% | -6.9% | -14.5% | +0.8% | +2.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.19 | 2.21 | +1.1% | +0.8% | -3.8% | +7.5% | +10.1% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.65 | 2.70 | +1.7% | +4.7% | +7.4% | -3.0% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 2.25 | 2.25 | -0.1% | -9.1% | -14.5% | -3.8% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.16 | 2.17 | +0.5% | +2.9% | +5.9% | +1.9% | +5.7% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.01 | 2.04 | +1.7% | -4.2% | -5.0% | -2.3% | +1.0% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.48 | 2.57 | +3.7% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 2.02 | 2.07 | +2.4% | +0.1% | -1.8% | +7.2% | +12.9% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.90 | 2.00 | +5.5% | +1.9% | +2.6% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 1.73 | 1.80 | +3.8% | -5.0% | -6.9% | +3.3% | +5.3% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 2.36 | 2.45 | +4.0% | -2.5% | +0.9% | -2.3% | -2.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.67 | 1.77 | +5.8% | +0.8% | +9.3% | -1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 1.61 | 1.64 | +1.6% | -4.4% | -4.5% | +1.1% | +2.6% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.55 | 1.57 | +1.5% | -5.9% | -6.4% | +0.0% | -2.1% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 2.15 | 2.25 | +4.9% | -0.8% | +2.4% | +0.4% | +10.3% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.60 | 1.65 | +3.2% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -6.4% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 1.56 | 1.61 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -3.8% | +4.0% | +4.2% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 1.50 | 1.54 | +2.7% | +1.5% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 2.11 | 2.17 | +2.8% | -4.9% | -10.5% | -1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 1.53 | 1.64 | +6.9% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -4.3% | -1.7% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.43 | 1.58 | +10.3% | +4.2% | -1.1% | -0.2% | +3.9% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 1.38 | 1.42 | +2.9% | +4.4% | +3.6% | -4.1% | -0.8% |
| 2020-02-03 beat | 1.99 | 2.02 | +1.3% | -2.9% | -0.6% | +4.0% | -8.4% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 1.40 | 1.44 | +2.7% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +2.3% | +7.6% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.37 | 1.38 | +0.9% | -1.0% | -2.1% | -1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 1.31 | 1.32 | +0.7% | -7.2% | -7.4% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.