CLF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -2.1% | 10.9% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.8% | 7.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.1% | 3.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -1.2% | 13.7% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +7.2% | +12.9% | +16.0% | +6.1% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-20 beat | -0.42 | -0.40 | +3.9% | -10.1% | -2.1% | +9.0% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | -0.62 | -0.43 | +30.1% | -11.1% | -16.4% | -14.5% | -24.6% |
| 2025-10-20 beat | -0.45 | -0.45 | +0.6% | +17.3% | +21.5% | -14.9% | -30.8% |
| 2025-07-21 beat | -0.67 | -0.50 | +25.9% | +6.4% | +12.4% | +5.6% | -2.2% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.81 | -0.92 | -13.6% | -8.1% | -15.8% | +3.9% | +8.8% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | -0.67 | -0.68 | -1.0% | -3.5% | -3.2% | -12.2% | -15.3% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | -0.31 | -0.33 | -5.0% | -6.9% | -11.4% | +3.2% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | — | 0.11 | +4945.9% | +2.0% | +4.4% | -5.7% | -19.1% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.8% | -4.5% | -11.0% | -8.9% | -7.5% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +7.6% | -2.8% | +6.6% | -1.9% | +3.3% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +11.5% | +4.9% | +8.9% | +7.2% | +7.7% |
| 2023-07-24 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -2.1% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +0.5% | -13.7% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | -0.14 | -0.11 | +20.9% | -3.3% | -5.8% | +0.1% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-13 miss | -0.31 | -0.43 | -38.7% | -4.1% | +1.5% | -2.3% | -13.7% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 0.54 | 0.29 | -46.7% | -10.4% | -7.9% | -6.6% | +11.2% |
| 2022-07-22 miss | 1.36 | 1.31 | -3.9% | -0.2% | -8.9% | +13.4% | +10.6% |
| 2022-04-22 beat | 1.49 | 1.57 | +4.9% | +5.9% | -2.1% | -12.0% | -20.5% |
| 2022-02-11 miss | 2.03 | 1.76 | -13.4% | -6.8% | -9.7% | +0.9% | +33.9% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 2.23 | 2.35 | +5.2% | +4.4% | +12.7% | +1.1% | -5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.