CLF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -1.7% | 10.0% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -1.6% | 6.0% | 38% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 3.4% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -1.0% | 13.1% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +7.2% | +12.9% | +16.0% | +6.1% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-20 beat | -0.42 | -0.40 | +3.9% | -10.1% | -2.1% | +9.0% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | -0.62 | -0.43 | +30.1% | -11.1% | -16.4% | -14.5% | -24.6% |
| 2025-10-20 beat | -0.45 | -0.45 | +0.6% | +17.3% | +21.5% | -14.9% | -30.8% |
| 2025-07-21 beat | -0.67 | -0.50 | +25.9% | +6.4% | +12.4% | +5.6% | -2.2% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.81 | -0.92 | -13.6% | -8.1% | -15.8% | +3.9% | +8.8% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | -0.67 | -0.68 | -1.0% | -3.5% | -3.2% | -12.2% | -15.3% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | -0.31 | -0.33 | -5.0% | -6.9% | -11.4% | +3.2% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | — | 0.11 | +4945.9% | +2.0% | +4.4% | -5.7% | -19.1% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.8% | -4.5% | -11.0% | -8.9% | -7.5% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +7.6% | -2.8% | +6.6% | -1.9% | +3.3% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +11.5% | +4.9% | +8.9% | +7.2% | +7.7% |
| 2023-07-24 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -2.1% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +0.5% | -13.7% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | -0.14 | -0.11 | +20.9% | -3.3% | -5.8% | +0.1% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-13 miss | -0.31 | -0.43 | -38.7% | -4.1% | +1.5% | -2.3% | -13.7% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 0.54 | 0.29 | -46.7% | -10.4% | -7.9% | -6.6% | +11.2% |
| 2022-07-22 miss | 1.36 | 1.31 | -3.9% | -0.2% | -8.9% | +13.4% | +10.6% |
| 2022-04-22 beat | 1.49 | 1.57 | +4.9% | +5.9% | -2.1% | -12.0% | -20.5% |
| 2022-02-11 miss | 2.03 | 1.76 | -13.4% | -6.8% | -9.7% | +0.9% | +33.9% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 2.23 | 2.35 | +5.2% | +4.4% | +12.7% | +1.1% | -5.2% |
| 2021-07-22 miss | 1.51 | 1.43 | -5.3% | -4.6% | -0.5% | +18.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021-04-22 miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -15.6% | +3.3% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +5.7% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.28 | 0.04 | -85.4% | -3.3% | -14.7% | -5.2% | +15.0% |
| 2020-10-23 beat | -0.11 | 0.04 | +134.8% | +2.8% | +4.8% | -4.5% | +14.5% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.51 | -0.46 | +10.2% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -1.9% | +14.3% |
| 2020-05-11 beat | -0.17 | -0.07 | +57.1% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -6.2% | +40.5% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +7.8% | -3.3% | -5.4% | -20.3% | -55.6% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +34.8% | +2.9% | -5.3% | +8.4% | +11.1% |
| 2019-07-19 beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +19.7% | +2.4% | +4.0% | -3.5% | -25.6% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | -0.14 | -0.07 | +49.2% | +5.8% | +2.3% | +1.3% | -4.3% |
| 2019-02-08 beat | 0.59 | 2.05 | +245.6% | +2.8% | +8.5% | -4.6% | -15.7% |
| 2018-10-19 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -1.8% | +1.7% | -3.7% | -8.7% | -9.9% |
| 2018-07-20 beat | 0.52 | 0.73 | +40.0% | +6.7% | +12.7% | +7.1% | -2.3% |
| 2018-04-20 beat | -0.18 | 0.01 | +102.7% | +2.1% | +7.4% | -5.6% | +8.0% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +39.4% | +6.8% | -5.5% | -13.8% | -3.8% |
| 2017-10-20 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +13.6% | +0.5% | -5.6% | -10.1% | -12.1% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.17 | 0.28 | +58.3% | +3.1% | -5.0% | +1.2% | +6.5% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 0.20 | 0.11 | -43.0% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -5.7% | -8.4% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 0.27 | 0.48 | +77.3% | +0.0% | +19.4% | +1.8% | -20.4% |
| 2016-10-27 miss | 0.19 | -0.04 | -121.8% | -11.1% | -18.2% | +10.3% | +91.7% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +95.9% | +6.5% | +3.1% | +0.2% | -28.7% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | -0.29 | -0.36 | -24.6% | +12.3% | +25.1% | -31.4% | -43.0% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | -0.31 | -0.14 | +54.8% | -4.6% | -1.3% | +26.7% | +21.3% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | -0.22 | -0.35 | -57.1% | +3.8% | +1.1% | +6.0% | -16.1% |
| 2015-07-29 miss | -0.12 | -0.21 | -74.3% | +1.3% | +1.7% | -12.3% | +23.5% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | -0.17 | 0.02 | +111.8% | +0.9% | -7.8% | +21.4% | -1.8% |
| 2015-02-02 beat | 0.16 | 1.00 | +540.1% | +5.7% | -2.4% | -1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 0.03 | 0.21 | +549.4% | +2.9% | +22.2% | +0.4% | -19.0% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | -0.10 | 0.05 | +148.4% | +0.1% | -2.9% | +16.1% | +5.2% |
| 2014-04-24 miss | -0.26 | -0.39 | -50.6% | -1.3% | -4.1% | +1.5% | -9.1% |
| 2014-02-13 beat | 0.79 | 1.22 | +53.8% | +5.3% | +5.8% | -7.9% | -16.5% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 0.71 | 0.64 | -10.8% | +4.2% | +6.0% | +9.4% | +1.6% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.58 | 1.13 | +94.7% | +3.4% | +7.2% | +4.4% | +14.0% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.34 | 0.60 | +75.8% | +8.2% | +15.0% | -8.5% | -2.8% |
| 2013-02-12 miss | 0.55 | 0.41 | -25.0% | -15.2% | -20.0% | -8.4% | -24.6% |
| 2012-10-24 miss | 1.07 | 0.61 | -42.8% | -4.9% | -10.5% | -2.8% | -22.5% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 1.81 | 1.81 | +0.2% | +0.6% | -6.3% | +5.1% | +0.8% |
| 2012-04-25 miss | 1.13 | 0.85 | -24.6% | -2.8% | -5.3% | -5.1% | -20.9% |
| 2012-02-15 miss | 1.60 | 1.42 | -11.4% | -3.9% | +0.0% | -1.2% | +6.6% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 3.66 | 4.28 | +17.0% | +0.3% | +4.8% | -1.9% | -13.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.