CLF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -2.7% | 13.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -1.6% | 10.0% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.6% | 3.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -3.3% | -5.1% | 16.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +7.2% | +12.9% | +16.0% | +6.1% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-20 beat | -0.42 | -0.40 | +3.9% | -10.1% | -2.1% | +9.0% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | -0.62 | -0.43 | +30.1% | -11.1% | -16.4% | -14.5% | -24.6% |
| 2025-10-20 beat | -0.45 | -0.45 | +0.6% | +17.3% | +21.5% | -14.9% | -30.8% |
| 2025-07-21 beat | -0.67 | -0.50 | +25.9% | +6.4% | +12.4% | +5.6% | -2.2% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.81 | -0.92 | -13.6% | -8.1% | -15.8% | +3.9% | +8.8% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | -0.67 | -0.68 | -1.0% | -3.5% | -3.2% | -12.2% | -15.3% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | -0.31 | -0.33 | -5.0% | -6.9% | -11.4% | +3.2% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | — | 0.11 | +4945.9% | +2.0% | +4.4% | -5.7% | -19.1% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.8% | -4.5% | -11.0% | -8.9% | -7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.