CM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +2.6% | 4.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 0.9% | 20% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +2.6% | 4.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 2.52 | 2.73 | +8.2% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +2.9% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 2.45 | 2.54 | +3.8% | +0.3% | -5.1% | -0.4% | +3.7% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.39 | 2.76 | +15.4% | +2.7% | +3.0% | -3.3% | -10.6% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 2.07 | 2.20 | +6.3% | -0.2% | +4.3% | +2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 2.00 | 2.16 | +8.0% | +2.8% | +2.3% | +1.7% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 1.90 | 2.05 | +7.9% | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.99 | 2.20 | +10.8% | +1.7% | -0.9% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2024-12-05 beat | 1.78 | 1.91 | +7.1% | +1.7% | +4.7% | -0.4% | -6.1% |
| 2024-08-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.93 | +11.0% | +2.7% | +5.5% | +3.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 1.64 | 1.75 | +6.8% | +3.4% | +7.5% | -2.7% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.