CM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 3.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 37% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +2.3% | 5.3% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 2.52 | 2.73 | +8.2% | +0.5% | -2.8% | +2.9% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 2.45 | 2.54 | +3.8% | +0.3% | -5.1% | -0.4% | +3.7% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.39 | 2.76 | +15.4% | +2.7% | +3.0% | -3.3% | -10.6% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 2.07 | 2.20 | +6.3% | -0.2% | +4.3% | +2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 2.00 | 2.16 | +8.0% | +2.8% | +2.3% | +1.7% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 1.90 | 2.05 | +7.9% | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.99 | 2.20 | +10.8% | +1.7% | -0.9% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2024-12-05 beat | 1.78 | 1.91 | +7.1% | +1.7% | +4.7% | -0.4% | -6.1% |
| 2024-08-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.93 | +11.0% | +2.7% | +5.5% | +3.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 1.64 | 1.75 | +6.8% | +3.4% | +7.5% | -2.7% | -6.6% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 1.67 | 1.81 | +8.5% | +2.1% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +6.5% |
| 2023-11-30 beat | 1.53 | 1.57 | +2.9% | +1.6% | +5.2% | +3.3% | +15.8% |
| 2023-08-31 miss | 1.68 | 1.52 | -9.8% | -2.5% | -3.1% | -1.6% | -5.0% |
| 2023-05-25 beat | 1.63 | 1.70 | +4.1% | +0.6% | +1.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-24 beat | 1.72 | 1.94 | +13.0% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +0.4% | -10.8% |
| 2022-12-01 miss | 1.72 | 1.39 | -19.4% | -1.6% | -7.6% | -3.8% | -9.0% |
| 2022-08-25 beat | 1.83 | 1.85 | +1.3% | +0.7% | +0.1% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 1.72 | 1.77 | +3.0% | +0.8% | -1.9% | +3.9% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-25 beat | 1.84 | 2.04 | +11.0% | +3.2% | +6.6% | -2.6% | -3.0% |
| 2021-12-02 miss | 1.76 | 1.69 | -4.5% | -0.1% | -2.7% | +4.1% | +9.4% |
| 2021-08-26 beat | 1.70 | 1.97 | +15.8% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-27 beat | 1.53 | 1.80 | +17.0% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +2.5% | -2.3% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.40 | 1.79 | +27.7% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +6.3% |
| 2020-12-03 beat | 1.26 | 1.40 | +10.3% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2020-08-27 beat | 1.09 | 1.36 | +24.1% | +0.8% | +2.2% | +0.4% | -4.6% |
| 2020-05-28 miss | 0.86 | 0.47 | -45.2% | +0.3% | -1.8% | +8.6% | +0.8% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 1.50 | 1.62 | +8.1% | +0.5% | +1.1% | -3.6% | -27.5% |
| 2019-12-05 miss | 1.53 | 1.42 | -7.3% | -3.3% | -5.0% | +0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2019-08-22 beat | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.3% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +1.3% | +9.2% |
| 2019-05-22 miss | 1.49 | 1.49 | -0.6% | -0.9% | -4.5% | -4.7% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.