CMA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | +0.5% | 4.0% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 51% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 2.0% | 58% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.4% | 5.7% | 59% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 beat | 1.25 | 1.46 | +17.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 1.28 | 1.48 | +15.9% | +3.6% | +1.4% | +4.4% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 1.22 | 1.30 | +6.0% | +0.4% | +4.6% | +4.1% | +3.7% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 1.13 | 1.25 | +10.7% | +1.4% | -4.4% | +6.4% | +14.9% |
| 2025-01-22 miss | 1.26 | 1.20 | -4.7% | -4.4% | -5.6% | +4.1% | +4.4% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 1.16 | 1.37 | +17.8% | +2.5% | +3.7% | -4.9% | +5.2% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 1.19 | 1.49 | +25.2% | -10.8% | -10.5% | +5.9% | +12.2% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 1.14 | 1.29 | +12.9% | +3.5% | +1.7% | +2.9% | +8.2% |
| 2024-01-19 beat | 1.39 | 1.46 | +4.8% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +4.4% | -4.1% |
| 2023-10-20 beat | 1.70 | 1.84 | +8.3% | -2.1% | -8.5% | +0.6% | +18.0% |
| 2023-07-21 beat | 1.86 | 2.01 | +8.2% | +4.4% | -4.1% | +6.2% | -6.7% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 2.27 | 2.39 | +5.4% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -9.8% | -16.3% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 2.56 | 2.58 | +0.8% | +2.1% | +5.9% | +3.1% | +4.4% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 2.57 | 2.60 | +1.1% | -3.1% | -9.0% | +2.3% | +3.7% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 1.77 | 1.92 | +8.7% | +2.7% | +1.6% | -1.3% | +9.4% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | 1.37 | 1.37 | -0.2% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -5.3% | -16.4% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 1.58 | 1.66 | +4.9% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -4.3% | +0.1% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.64 | 1.90 | +15.8% | -0.6% | +3.4% | -2.6% | +2.7% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.60 | 2.32 | +45.2% | +0.8% | +4.2% | +0.0% | +3.7% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 1.36 | 2.43 | +79.2% | -1.5% | -3.0% | +6.6% | +14.6% |
| 2021-01-19 beat | 1.19 | 1.49 | +25.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -5.9% | +0.6% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 0.84 | 1.44 | +70.5% | +3.7% | +4.8% | +0.4% | +17.7% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 0.22 | 0.80 | +257.8% | +2.8% | +6.6% | -1.6% | +6.6% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.90 | -0.46 | -151.1% | -5.5% | -0.6% | +19.6% | +13.0% |
| 2020-01-21 beat | 1.75 | 1.85 | +5.8% | -3.7% | -3.5% | -4.8% | -4.3% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 1.90 | 1.93 | +1.5% | +1.5% | -2.3% | +0.4% | +6.2% |
| 2019-07-17 miss | 2.00 | 1.94 | -3.2% | -2.5% | -3.6% | +4.6% | -14.3% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 1.93 | 2.08 | +7.7% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -2.7% | -6.7% |
| 2019-01-16 beat | 1.89 | 1.95 | +3.0% | +2.0% | +5.5% | +4.6% | +10.5% |
| 2018-10-16 beat | 1.78 | 1.86 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -3.4% | -3.8% |
| 2018-07-17 beat | 1.68 | 1.90 | +13.2% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +5.2% |
| 2018-04-17 miss | 1.54 | 1.54 | -0.1% | -1.6% | -3.5% | +3.8% | +6.8% |
| 2018-01-16 beat | 1.25 | 1.28 | +2.7% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +3.8% |
| 2017-10-17 beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.2% | +0.9% | -0.7% | +6.4% | +5.5% |
| 2017-07-18 beat | 1.09 | 1.15 | +5.8% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2017-04-18 beat | 0.97 | 1.02 | +4.8% | -1.7% | +1.2% | +4.3% | -0.6% |
| 2017-01-17 beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.4% | -2.8% | -6.5% | +3.5% | +12.0% |
| 2016-10-18 beat | 0.78 | 0.92 | +18.5% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +3.5% | +18.3% |
| 2016-07-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +11.2% | +1.3% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2016-04-19 miss | 0.45 | 0.34 | -24.1% | -2.9% | +4.2% | +8.4% | +7.2% |
| 2016-01-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.9% | +1.2% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -1.7% |
| 2015-10-16 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.5% | +0.0% | -1.1% | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| 2015-07-17 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.0% | -3.8% | -6.3% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2015-04-17 beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.1% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2015-01-16 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +5.6% | +1.9% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +9.9% |
| 2014-10-17 miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -0.9% | -1.6% | -3.1% | +5.7% | +12.9% |
| 2014-07-15 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +2.6% | -5.1% | -5.5% |
| 2014-04-15 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2014-01-17 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.0% | +5.3% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2013-10-16 beat | 0.71 | 0.78 | +10.3% | -0.1% | +2.5% | +2.0% | +7.5% |
| 2013-07-16 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.5% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +4.9% | +3.3% |
| 2013-04-16 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +3.1% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +13.5% |
| 2013-01-16 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.9% | +0.3% | +3.7% | +1.5% | +5.4% |
| 2012-10-17 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.7% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -3.8% | -5.4% |
| 2012-07-17 beat | 0.62 | 0.76 | +21.3% | +3.4% | +3.8% | -6.7% | -3.0% |
| 2012-04-17 beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +17.2% | +5.2% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -6.0% |
| 2012-01-20 beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +10.3% | +1.8% | +3.1% | -5.3% | +4.0% |
| 2011-10-19 miss | 0.55 | 0.51 | -6.8% | -7.1% | -10.5% | +8.6% | +8.4% |
| 2011-07-19 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +3.3% | -23.6% |
| 2011-04-19 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +17.7% | +0.4% | -2.2% | +3.7% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.