CMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +2.1% | 4.4% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -1.1% | 3.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.6% | 3.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.2% | 5.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.3% | +1.7% | +3.9% | -16.7% | -8.2% |
| 2026-03-26 miss | 1.30 | 1.16 | -10.5% | -7.1% | -4.7% | +3.9% | +16.9% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 1.50 | 1.84 | +22.3% | -2.3% | -3.6% | +7.4% | +17.5% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -7.3% | +10.0% | +6.6% |
| 2025-06-23 miss | 0.85 | 0.74 | -12.9% | -1.7% | +1.2% | -0.7% | +10.1% |
| 2025-03-20 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -14.5% | -3.7% | +1.1% | +2.2% | -12.1% |
| 2025-01-06 miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.1% | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +4.5% | -3.1% | +5.1% | -8.1% | +5.2% |
| 2024-06-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.2% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +1.6% | +9.9% |
| 2024-03-21 beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +15.2% | +3.6% | +5.3% | -0.4% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.