CMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +1.1% | 5.1% | 58% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 3.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.4% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.9% | 7.7% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.3% | +1.7% | +3.9% | -16.7% | -8.2% |
| 2026-03-26 miss | 1.30 | 1.16 | -10.5% | -7.1% | -4.7% | +3.9% | +16.9% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 1.50 | 1.84 | +22.3% | -2.3% | -3.6% | +7.4% | +17.5% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -7.3% | +10.0% | +6.6% |
| 2025-06-23 miss | 0.85 | 0.74 | -12.9% | -1.7% | +1.2% | -0.7% | +10.1% |
| 2025-03-20 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -14.5% | -3.7% | +1.1% | +2.2% | -12.1% |
| 2025-01-06 miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.1% | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +4.5% | -3.1% | +5.1% | -8.1% | +5.2% |
| 2024-06-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.2% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +1.6% | +9.9% |
| 2024-03-21 beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +15.2% | +3.6% | +5.3% | -0.4% | -6.6% |
| 2024-01-08 beat | 1.47 | 1.63 | +10.8% | +2.7% | +7.5% | -4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2023-10-12 miss | 1.82 | 1.69 | -6.9% | -5.9% | -9.6% | -5.5% | +3.4% |
| 2023-06-22 beat | 1.82 | 2.02 | +10.8% | +2.2% | +8.8% | +1.0% | +7.4% |
| 2023-03-23 beat | 1.43 | 1.44 | +0.4% | +4.2% | +3.1% | +5.0% | +4.9% |
| 2023-01-09 beat | 1.96 | 2.24 | +14.5% | +2.6% | -0.6% | +10.0% | +11.8% |
| 2022-10-13 beat | 2.23 | 2.45 | +10.1% | -1.0% | +6.1% | +2.1% | +9.5% |
| 2022-06-16 beat | 1.85 | 2.61 | +41.2% | +0.1% | -4.9% | +3.4% | +0.8% |
| 2022-03-17 beat | 1.33 | 1.53 | +15.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +7.7% | +8.5% |
| 2022-01-10 beat | 1.19 | 1.62 | +35.9% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +0.6% |
| 2021-10-14 miss | 1.34 | 1.26 | -5.9% | -4.4% | -4.7% | +2.7% | +10.6% |
| 2021-06-17 beat | 0.84 | 1.04 | +23.4% | +2.0% | -3.8% | +5.4% | -1.9% |
| 2021-03-18 beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.2% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| 2021-01-11 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.8% | -2.5% | -4.0% | -1.6% | +1.8% |
| 2020-10-15 beat | 0.57 | 0.79 | +39.2% | -4.8% | -2.7% | -4.9% | -6.5% |
| 2020-06-18 beat | 0.31 | 0.59 | +90.4% | +0.1% | +5.6% | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| 2020-03-19 beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +7.1% | +0.1% | +8.7% | +17.6% | +23.5% |
| 2020-01-06 beat | 0.54 | 0.73 | +34.2% | +7.4% | -0.3% | +2.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.1% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +5.8% |
| 2019-06-20 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.3% | +6.1% | +6.5% | +4.1% | +6.1% |
| 2019-03-21 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +9.2% | -0.4% | +8.2% | -2.8% | -0.2% |
| 2019-01-07 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +4.8% | -0.1% | -5.5% | -1.6% | +7.6% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.3% | +3.6% | +9.6% | +4.1% | +0.2% |
| 2018-06-21 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -3.1% | -3.3% | -5.9% | -4.8% | -0.4% |
| 2018-03-22 miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -9.6% | -5.7% | -12.3% | -2.2% | +2.5% |
| 2018-01-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.34 | +103.3% | +5.2% | +6.7% | +4.0% | -3.6% |
| 2017-10-26 miss | 0.19 | 0.07 | -63.1% | -4.1% | -9.8% | +0.5% | -2.8% |
| 2017-06-22 beat | 0.25 | 0.34 | +38.1% | +7.8% | +2.1% | +2.4% | +6.4% |
| 2017-03-23 beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +98.5% | +7.8% | +3.3% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2017-01-09 miss | 0.16 | 0.06 | -62.6% | -4.2% | -7.9% | -3.5% | +0.9% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +19.0% | -0.2% | -3.8% | +1.3% | +40.6% |
| 2016-06-23 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.1% | +2.1% | -1.5% | +2.1% | -2.4% |
| 2016-03-24 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +22.1% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +2.0% | +5.0% |
| 2016-01-05 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.8% | +0.0% | +3.5% | -4.1% | -1.1% |
| 2015-10-28 miss | 0.43 | 0.05 | -88.4% | -4.5% | -6.9% | -3.4% | -2.2% |
| 2015-06-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.58 | +32.5% | +2.0% | +0.8% | -4.1% | -10.3% |
| 2015-03-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.53 | +173.3% | +4.5% | +1.1% | +5.3% | +8.1% |
| 2015-01-06 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +16.2% | +0.5% | -6.7% | -3.7% | +1.3% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +25.8% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -3.3% | -3.8% |
| 2014-06-27 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.3% | -7.7% | -4.0% | +1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2014-03-27 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +19.6% | +3.0% | +1.0% | +2.2% | -0.9% |
| 2014-01-07 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +10.8% | +2.9% | +1.1% | +1.8% | -6.1% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +12.1% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +4.0% | +9.7% |
| 2013-06-27 beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +39.0% | -0.4% | +4.6% | -0.9% | +6.4% |
| 2013-03-28 miss | 0.18 | 0.04 | -77.6% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -9.1% | -8.5% |
| 2013-01-07 beat | 0.17 | 0.28 | +67.6% | +1.7% | +3.1% | -2.1% | +6.0% |
| 2012-10-24 miss | 0.27 | 0.06 | -78.8% | +0.1% | -2.3% | +4.1% | -3.8% |
| 2012-06-27 miss | 0.37 | 0.26 | -30.0% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +11.9% | +5.7% |
| 2012-03-28 beat | 0.09 | 0.24 | +153.2% | +1.9% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2012-01-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +4.4% | +0.6% | +4.0% | -11.8% | -1.8% |
| 2011-10-28 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -9.3% | -0.9% | +4.6% | -1.4% | +5.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.