CMS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 1.0% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 1.5% | 70% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.9% | 3.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.1% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +2.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.5% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.6% | +6.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.4% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.9% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -6.1% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.0% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +8.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.8% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -4.7% | -1.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.1% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +5.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.