CMS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 1.4% | 67% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.3% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.2% | 3.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.1% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +2.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.5% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.6% | +6.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.4% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.9% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -1.6% | -6.1% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.0% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +8.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.8% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -4.7% | -1.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.1% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +5.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.04 | 1.05 | +0.6% | +0.2% | +2.9% | -4.4% | +0.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.7% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -5.3% | -7.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.2% | +0.7% | +1.3% | -1.9% | -8.6% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -6.0% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +6.3% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +7.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +18.4% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +0.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.12 | 1.20 | +7.6% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +1.2% | +5.6% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.2% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -3.4% | +3.6% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.8% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -1.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.55 | +22.0% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +2.9% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +6.0% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.5% | -1.9% | -0.6% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +7.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +12.8% | +0.9% | -1.9% | +0.1% | -4.4% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +9.0% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -2.2% | -3.5% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 0.69 | 0.68 | -0.8% | +0.2% | +1.1% | -1.1% | -5.8% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.9% | +1.6% | +1.8% | -0.8% | -4.2% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -11.1% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +6.2% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.2% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.