CNI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -2.1% | 3.8% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.8% | 2.4% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 1.0% | 80% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -2.5% | 3.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 1.96 | 2.08 | +6.0% | +0.7% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.81 | 1.80 | -0.3% | -0.9% | -5.9% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 1.98 | 2.08 | +5.1% | +0.4% | -4.8% | +5.4% | +15.5% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.77 | 1.83 | +3.3% | +3.9% | +2.8% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-22 miss | 1.87 | 1.87 | -0.1% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.78 | 1.85 | +4.1% | +1.1% | +6.0% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 1.93 | 1.82 | -5.7% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -2.8% | -6.7% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 1.93 | 1.84 | -4.5% | -5.7% | -3.5% | +0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.72 | 1.72 | +0.0% | +0.7% | -5.1% | -1.5% | +2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.