CNI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 3.0% | 33% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.1% | 63% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 1.96 | 2.08 | +6.0% | +0.7% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.81 | 1.80 | -0.3% | -0.9% | -5.9% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 1.98 | 2.08 | +5.1% | +0.4% | -4.8% | +5.4% | +15.5% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.77 | 1.83 | +3.3% | +3.9% | +2.8% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-22 miss | 1.87 | 1.87 | -0.1% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.78 | 1.85 | +4.1% | +1.1% | +6.0% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 1.93 | 1.82 | -5.7% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -2.8% | -6.7% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 1.93 | 1.84 | -4.5% | -5.7% | -3.5% | +0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.72 | 1.72 | +0.0% | +0.7% | -5.1% | -1.5% | +2.8% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +1.8% | +0.7% | -2.2% | +0.8% | +7.0% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 1.72 | 1.69 | -1.7% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +8.5% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 1.79 | 1.76 | -1.8% | -1.5% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | 1.72 | 1.82 | +5.7% | -0.4% | -4.7% | -0.1% | -4.5% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 2.08 | 2.10 | +1.0% | -3.4% | -4.7% | +1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.01 | 2.13 | +6.0% | -0.3% | +3.4% | -2.8% | +7.0% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.76 | 1.93 | +9.4% | +2.1% | +4.9% | +2.1% | +3.1% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 1.39 | 1.32 | -4.9% | -1.3% | -1.0% | +1.3% | -7.1% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 1.53 | 1.71 | +12.1% | -1.0% | -3.0% | +5.2% | +4.9% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.42 | 1.52 | +7.2% | +5.9% | +5.2% | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 1.48 | 1.49 | +0.5% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +2.2% |
| 2021-04-26 miss | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.4% | +0.2% | -1.3% | +0.7% | -0.2% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +0.9% | -2.2% | -5.5% | +3.3% | +7.9% |
| 2020-10-20 miss | 1.46 | 1.38 | -5.4% | -4.5% | -6.3% | -4.7% | +4.2% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 1.26 | 1.28 | +1.6% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +8.3% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +9.7% | +3.2% | +2.1% | -2.6% | +4.8% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.8% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +1.7% | -9.5% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.6% | -2.1% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 1.66 | 1.73 | +4.5% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2019-04-29 miss | 1.19 | 1.17 | -1.4% | -2.2% | -1.2% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.49 | +1.4% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 1.47 | 1.50 | +2.4% | +1.3% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +1.9% |
| 2018-07-24 beat | 1.39 | 1.51 | +8.8% | +2.8% | +5.7% | -1.3% | -2.1% |
| 2018-04-23 beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.1% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +12.3% |
| 2018-01-23 miss | 1.23 | 1.20 | -2.2% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2017-10-24 miss | 1.32 | 1.31 | -0.7% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -2.0% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 1.32 | 1.34 | +1.3% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +0.9% | -0.1% |
| 2017-04-24 beat | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.0% | -1.9% | -3.4% | +1.1% | +4.5% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.4% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +3.8% | +0.0% | -4.0% | -1.3% | +5.8% |
| 2016-07-25 beat | 1.04 | 1.11 | +6.4% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +2.6% |
| 2016-04-25 beat | 0.93 | 1.00 | +7.7% | -4.8% | -4.5% | -2.1% | -4.9% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 1.10 | 1.18 | +7.4% | +2.6% | +0.5% | +4.9% | +15.0% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 1.15 | 1.26 | +9.4% | +3.0% | +3.7% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| 2015-07-20 beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.8% | +2.3% | +2.4% | +0.3% | -3.0% |
| 2015-04-20 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.0% | -0.2% | -3.4% | -0.7% | -8.1% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 0.97 | 1.03 | +6.3% | +1.5% | -2.0% | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| 2014-10-21 miss | 1.05 | 1.04 | -0.8% | +1.5% | -0.9% | +3.8% | +7.3% |
| 2014-07-21 beat | 1.00 | 1.03 | +3.4% | +2.0% | +2.0% | -2.6% | +0.2% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +7.0% | +1.7% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +3.2% |
| 2014-01-30 miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -1.7% | -2.6% | +0.8% | +2.7% | +5.0% |
| 2013-10-22 beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +5.9% | +2.0% | +3.4% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2013-07-22 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.9% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +1.7% | -4.1% |
| 2013-04-22 beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.6% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +3.7% | +8.1% |
| 2013-01-22 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +0.4% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +4.1% |
| 2012-10-22 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +0.9% | -1.3% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +1.1% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.7% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +6.5% |
| 2012-04-23 beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +14.4% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +5.1% | +0.0% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.9% | -0.1% | -4.9% | +0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.9% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +2.2% | -4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.