CODA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.9% | 7.3% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -2.5% | -1.9% | 2.5% | 0% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -4.9% | 8.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +4.3% | -1.2% | +7.1% | +4.1% | -6.5% |
| 2026-06-15 beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +15.4% | +6.0% | -14.6% | +1.4% | +7.7% |
| 2026-03-17 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +33.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% | -13.2% | -2.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +42.9% | +14.7% | +9.7% | -1.7% | +28.8% |
| 2025-09-15 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +22.2% | -2.6% | -7.0% | +1.1% | +11.5% |
| 2025-06-16 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +9.3% | +2.2% | -0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2025-03-17 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -4.6% | -3.7% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -57.1% | -2.5% | -6.3% | +0.3% | -2.4% |
| 2024-09-16 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.0% | +5.0% | +5.4% | -2.3% | +14.1% |
| 2024-06-12 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +160.0% | +10.8% | +0.3% | -6.3% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
No sign-up needed — your conversation stays on this browser so you can come back to it.
Follow the callers you actually want to hear from, agree or disagree with a call, and Apes Alpha starts building your feed around it.
Continue with Google
Continue with email
Loading…