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CODA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -2.4% | 11.9% | 44% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 38% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.8% | 6.1% | 41% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -2.4% | 15.1% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +4.3% | -1.2% | +7.1% | +4.1% | -6.5% |
| 2026-06-15 beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +15.4% | +6.0% | -14.6% | +1.4% | +7.7% |
| 2026-03-17 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +33.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% | -13.2% | -2.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +42.9% | +14.7% | +9.7% | -1.7% | +28.8% |
| 2025-09-15 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +22.2% | -2.6% | -7.0% | +1.1% | +11.5% |
| 2025-06-16 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +9.3% | +2.2% | -0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2025-03-17 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -4.6% | -3.7% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -57.1% | -2.5% | -6.3% | +0.3% | -2.4% |
| 2024-09-16 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.0% | +5.0% | +5.4% | -2.3% | +14.1% |
| 2024-06-12 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +160.0% | +10.8% | +0.3% | -6.3% | -1.5% |
| 2024-03-18 beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +500.0% | +8.7% | -0.2% | +2.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-01-29 miss | 0.09 | -0.02 | -122.2% | -9.4% | -13.3% | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-09-13 miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -25.0% | -12.6% | -16.7% | -2.2% | +1.0% |
| 2023-06-14 miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -10.0% | -12.0% | -17.2% | +0.7% | +9.3% |
| 2023-03-16 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +33.3% | +6.5% | +13.7% | -2.1% | +11.7% |
| 2023-01-30 miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -40.0% | -8.5% | -12.8% | +8.4% | -3.4% |
| 2022-09-14 beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +128.6% | +7.0% | +5.4% | +3.1% | +17.6% |
| 2022-06-14 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -25.0% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -4.2% | -1.0% |
| 2022-03-16 beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +175.0% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +12.4% | -3.4% |
| 2022-02-14 miss | 0.13 | 0.01 | -92.3% | +3.5% | +10.6% | -9.5% | -4.7% |
| 2021-09-14 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +8.3% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2021-06-14 beat | 0.05 | 0.20 | +300.0% | +3.8% | +8.2% | -4.3% | -10.5% |
| 2021-03-17 beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +233.3% | -1.4% | +0.5% | +4.4% | +3.3% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +11.1% | -5.6% | -9.1% | +26.6% | +26.4% |
| 2020-09-14 beat | 0.02 | 0.10 | +400.0% | -0.2% | -4.2% | -7.6% | +2.0% |
| 2020-06-15 beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +77.8% | -3.3% | -7.9% | -4.4% | -3.2% |
| 2020-03-16 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +18.2% | -9.5% | -3.6% | -16.6% | -11.7% |
| 2020-01-28 miss | 0.20 | 0.02 | -90.0% | -5.3% | -8.2% | -6.6% | -11.6% |
| 2019-09-16 miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -15.0% | -8.1% | -12.4% | -12.0% | -18.6% |
| 2019-06-13 beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +38.5% | +24.8% | +45.8% | +5.2% | -14.5% |
| 2019-03-18 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.0% | +2.4% | -7.7% | +28.2% | +59.3% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 0.10 | 0.32 | +220.0% | +0.2% | -5.9% | +19.1% | +32.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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