COF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 3.7% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 2.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.8% | 1.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.9% | 4.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 4.69 | 5.81 | +23.8% | +0.6% | -2.4% | +3.7% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 4.57 | 4.42 | -3.3% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 4.14 | 3.86 | -6.8% | -4.8% | -7.6% | +0.8% | -9.5% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 4.36 | 5.95 | +36.4% | +4.6% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -8.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 3.72 | 5.48 | +47.4% | +4.8% | +0.9% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.65 | 4.06 | +11.2% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +2.2% | +6.9% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 2.80 | 3.09 | +10.3% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.76 | 4.51 | +20.0% | +7.2% | +5.2% | +1.6% | +19.0% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 3.39 | 3.14 | -7.4% | -1.3% | +0.6% | +3.4% | -4.7% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 3.38 | 3.21 | -4.9% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.6% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.