COF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.6% | 4.4% | 73% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +1.1% | 2.5% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 43% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +1.4% | 6.7% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 4.69 | 5.81 | +23.8% | +0.6% | -2.4% | +3.7% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 4.57 | 4.42 | -3.3% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 4.14 | 3.86 | -6.8% | -4.8% | -7.6% | +0.8% | -9.5% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 4.36 | 5.95 | +36.4% | +4.6% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -8.2% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 3.72 | 5.48 | +47.4% | +4.8% | +0.9% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 3.65 | 4.06 | +11.2% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +2.2% | +6.9% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 2.80 | 3.09 | +10.3% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.76 | 4.51 | +20.0% | +7.2% | +5.2% | +1.6% | +19.0% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 3.39 | 3.14 | -7.4% | -1.3% | +0.6% | +3.4% | -4.7% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 3.38 | 3.21 | -4.9% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.6% | -6.6% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 2.67 | 2.24 | -16.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 3.24 | 4.45 | +37.6% | +7.8% | +9.2% | +8.8% | +11.1% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 3.24 | 3.52 | +8.8% | +1.3% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -9.7% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 3.89 | 2.31 | -40.6% | -3.1% | +1.4% | -9.5% | +7.6% |
| 2023-01-24 miss | 3.86 | 2.82 | -26.9% | -1.5% | +9.0% | +0.2% | -5.6% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 5.04 | 4.20 | -16.7% | -3.1% | +4.9% | -4.3% | -4.7% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 5.05 | 4.96 | -1.7% | -4.3% | -4.7% | +0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 5.46 | 5.62 | +2.9% | -8.5% | -6.0% | +8.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 5.19 | 5.41 | +4.2% | -5.4% | -4.8% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 5.20 | 6.86 | +32.0% | -2.9% | -7.5% | +0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 4.54 | 7.71 | +69.8% | -2.7% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +5.8% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 4.05 | 7.03 | +73.4% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +6.4% | +12.1% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 2.74 | 5.29 | +92.8% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +4.4% | +17.0% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 2.07 | 5.05 | +144.4% | +4.9% | +1.6% | -6.3% | +11.9% |
| 2020-07-21 miss | -1.54 | -1.61 | -4.5% | -3.8% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +0.3% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 1.02 | -3.02 | -396.0% | +4.1% | +6.7% | +9.7% | +17.2% |
| 2020-01-21 beat | 2.35 | 2.49 | +5.9% | +2.7% | +4.5% | -5.2% | -5.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 2.92 | 3.32 | +13.6% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +7.1% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 2.87 | 3.37 | +17.6% | +3.7% | +2.1% | +8.2% | -4.1% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 2.73 | 2.90 | +6.3% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +0.6% | -5.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.