COLD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +2.0% | 9.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -1.0% | 1.8% | 10% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -1.1% | 2.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +2.8% | 11.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.03 | -0.02 | -180.3% | +9.2% | +2.8% | +4.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -59.0% | +3.1% | +17.9% | -2.5% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.09 | -0.10 | -213.0% | +3.2% | +15.7% | -2.2% | -19.0% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -32.5% | -2.8% | -7.1% | -9.6% | -10.7% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.11 | 0.04 | -60.9% | -0.2% | -9.4% | +0.7% | -7.8% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -56.1% | -2.8% | -5.8% | +3.8% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -42.0% | +6.9% | +6.2% | +3.3% | -4.6% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -28.6% | -3.0% | -8.3% | -6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +166.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -3.9% | +0.2% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.09 | +371.0% | +9.9% | +5.2% | +5.2% | +8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.