COLD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +1.3% | 7.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -0.9% | 1.9% | 23% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 1.8% | 34% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.1% | 8.5% | 51% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.03 | -0.02 | -180.3% | +9.2% | +2.8% | +4.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -59.0% | +3.1% | +17.9% | -2.5% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.09 | -0.10 | -213.0% | +3.2% | +15.7% | -2.2% | -19.0% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -32.5% | -2.8% | -7.1% | -9.6% | -10.7% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.11 | 0.04 | -60.9% | -0.2% | -9.4% | +0.7% | -7.8% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -56.1% | -2.8% | -5.8% | +3.8% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -42.0% | +6.9% | +6.2% | +3.3% | -4.6% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -28.6% | -3.0% | -8.3% | -6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +166.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -3.9% | +0.2% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.09 | +371.0% | +9.9% | +5.2% | +5.2% | +8.7% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +30.9% | -6.4% | -8.9% | +1.8% | -3.9% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -114.4% | -4.8% | -3.0% | -6.6% | +6.6% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | — | -0.39 | -15157.9% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -124.3% | +1.4% | +4.8% | -1.6% | -2.8% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +204.9% | +0.1% | +4.9% | -6.6% | -13.2% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +160.3% | +7.6% | +15.3% | +4.1% | +4.7% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.03 | 0.05 | +252.0% | -1.4% | -4.4% | +4.5% | -5.9% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +55.3% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +24.4% | -6.8% | -0.8% | +4.1% | +2.5% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.02 | 0.05 | +370.8% | +0.7% | -1.9% | +1.9% | +11.1% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.09 | -0.03 | -131.8% | -9.0% | -3.9% | -0.5% | -0.1% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.14 | 0.04 | -72.5% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -562.4% | +1.2% | +4.0% | -4.7% | +1.2% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -18.2% | +1.6% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -9.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +28.5% | -0.1% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -4.5% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +91.0% | +4.4% | +13.0% | -3.6% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +18.8% | -6.3% | -6.8% | -11.9% | -18.6% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -3.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% | +3.1% | +0.9% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +60.4% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -2.7% | -0.9% | -3.0% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.8% | +0.9% | +3.2% | -2.3% | +3.7% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +41.7% | -0.1% | +5.9% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| 2018-08-09 beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +48.7% | +7.2% | +7.6% | +3.2% | +7.3% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +35.7% | +8.2% | +4.1% | -2.0% | -2.7% |
| 2018-03-28 miss | 0.18 | 0.01 | -94.4% | -0.4% | +2.4% | -1.3% | +8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.