COP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.7% | 2.9% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 2.6% | 67% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.1% | 5.5% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.94 | 3.24 | +10.3% | +4.3% | +1.5% | +6.6% | +15.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.69 | 1.89 | +11.5% | -2.9% | -1.9% | -8.7% | -8.1% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 1.09 | 1.02 | -6.5% | -0.6% | -2.4% | +5.6% | +11.5% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.41 | 1.61 | +14.1% | -0.8% | -2.3% | +4.4% | +8.4% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.7% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +3.3% | -1.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 2.05 | 2.09 | +2.0% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +4.7% | -0.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.83 | 1.98 | +7.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -3.0% | -7.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.64 | 1.78 | +8.5% | +3.9% | +6.4% | +2.6% | -3.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.95 | 1.98 | +1.7% | +1.1% | -2.5% | -0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 2.03 | 2.03 | +0.1% | +0.3% | -1.7% | +0.9% | -6.9% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 2.17 | 2.40 | +10.7% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 2.09 | 2.16 | +3.3% | +1.0% | +4.6% | -6.4% | -6.1% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 1.96 | 1.84 | -6.0% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +6.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 2.07 | 2.38 | +15.1% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +2.6% | +4.8% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 2.88 | 2.71 | -5.9% | -3.6% | -5.4% | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 3.44 | 3.60 | +4.6% | +2.5% | +5.8% | -3.3% | -10.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 3.85 | 3.91 | +1.5% | +1.6% | -1.6% | +11.7% | +22.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 3.17 | 3.27 | +3.1% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -3.2% | +14.1% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 2.19 | 2.27 | +3.4% | +0.6% | -1.5% | +1.1% | +11.4% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.52 | 1.77 | +16.8% | -0.1% | -2.1% | +3.7% | -2.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.13 | 1.27 | +12.5% | -0.5% | +2.3% | -0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.54 | 0.69 | +29.0% | -1.9% | -0.3% | +6.0% | +13.1% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +23.9% | +2.1% | +0.6% | +14.4% | +35.8% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | -0.31 | -0.31 | -0.9% | -2.3% | +1.3% | +3.3% | +35.7% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | -0.58 | -0.92 | -59.3% | -4.6% | -5.8% | +1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.17 | 0.45 | +168.1% | +0.9% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -6.1% | -0.4% | -4.5% | +3.9% | -15.6% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.74 | 0.82 | +10.4% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +2.5% | +5.7% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 1.03 | 1.01 | -2.2% | -1.9% | +2.3% | -8.9% | -12.7% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.90 | 1.00 | +10.8% | +1.4% | +0.8% | -3.4% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.