COST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 3.5% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 1.3% | 35% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | -1.6% | 4.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 miss | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -3.9% | +1.6% | -2.2% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 4.55 | 4.58 | +0.7% | -1.6% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2025-12-11 beat | 4.27 | 4.50 | +5.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +7.5% |
| 2025-09-25 beat | 5.80 | 5.87 | +1.1% | -1.9% | -2.9% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 4.23 | 4.28 | +1.2% | -0.6% | +3.1% | -2.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | 4.10 | 4.02 | -1.9% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -6.3% | -5.8% |
| 2024-12-12 beat | 3.80 | 4.04 | +6.4% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -7.0% |
| 2024-09-26 beat | 5.08 | 5.15 | +1.4% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 3.76 | 3.78 | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-03-07 beat | 3.64 | 3.71 | +2.0% | -3.8% | -7.6% | +0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2023-12-14 beat | 3.42 | 3.58 | +4.8% | +1.7% | +4.4% | +1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2023-09-26 beat | 4.78 | 4.86 | +1.8% | -1.0% | +1.9% | +1.5% | -2.8% |
| 2023-06-01 miss | 3.43 | 2.93 | -14.5% | -0.4% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 3.23 | 3.30 | +2.2% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2022-12-08 miss | 3.16 | 3.10 | -2.0% | -1.3% | +0.3% | -4.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-09-22 miss | 4.20 | 4.20 | -0.1% | -1.7% | -4.3% | +1.3% | +6.6% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 3.02 | 3.17 | +5.0% | -1.8% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 2.79 | 2.92 | +4.6% | -2.5% | -1.4% | +0.4% | +9.4% |
| 2021-12-09 beat | 2.65 | 2.98 | +12.6% | +2.0% | +6.6% | -2.0% | -6.6% |
| 2021-09-23 beat | 3.58 | 3.76 | +4.9% | +0.7% | +3.3% | -4.2% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.