COST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 3.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.4% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 1.2% | 48% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.6% | 4.1% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 miss | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -3.9% | +1.6% | -2.2% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 4.55 | 4.58 | +0.7% | -1.6% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2025-12-11 beat | 4.27 | 4.50 | +5.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +7.5% |
| 2025-09-25 beat | 5.80 | 5.87 | +1.1% | -1.9% | -2.9% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 4.23 | 4.28 | +1.2% | -0.6% | +3.1% | -2.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | 4.10 | 4.02 | -1.9% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -6.3% | -5.8% |
| 2024-12-12 beat | 3.80 | 4.04 | +6.4% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -7.0% |
| 2024-09-26 beat | 5.08 | 5.15 | +1.4% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 3.76 | 3.78 | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-03-07 beat | 3.64 | 3.71 | +2.0% | -3.8% | -7.6% | +0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2023-12-14 beat | 3.42 | 3.58 | +4.8% | +1.7% | +4.4% | +1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2023-09-26 beat | 4.78 | 4.86 | +1.8% | -1.0% | +1.9% | +1.5% | -2.8% |
| 2023-06-01 miss | 3.43 | 2.93 | -14.5% | -0.4% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 3.23 | 3.30 | +2.2% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2022-12-08 miss | 3.16 | 3.10 | -2.0% | -1.3% | +0.3% | -4.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-09-22 miss | 4.20 | 4.20 | -0.1% | -1.7% | -4.3% | +1.3% | +6.6% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 3.02 | 3.17 | +5.0% | -1.8% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 2.79 | 2.92 | +4.6% | -2.5% | -1.4% | +0.4% | +9.4% |
| 2021-12-09 beat | 2.65 | 2.98 | +12.6% | +2.0% | +6.6% | -2.0% | -6.6% |
| 2021-09-23 beat | 3.58 | 3.76 | +4.9% | +0.7% | +3.3% | -4.2% | +4.8% |
| 2021-05-27 beat | 2.28 | 2.75 | +20.7% | -0.9% | -2.4% | +0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2021-03-04 miss | 2.43 | 2.14 | -12.0% | -1.2% | -0.5% | +4.4% | +13.5% |
| 2020-12-10 beat | 2.04 | 2.29 | +12.3% | +1.9% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 2020-09-24 beat | 2.81 | 3.13 | +11.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% | +3.6% | +8.2% |
| 2020-05-28 beat | 1.89 | 1.89 | +0.1% | -1.7% | -0.4% | +1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2020-03-05 beat | 2.06 | 2.10 | +1.7% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -2.9% | -2.0% |
| 2019-12-12 beat | 1.71 | 1.90 | +11.0% | -0.9% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +3.1% |
| 2019-10-03 beat | 2.55 | 2.69 | +5.3% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 2019-05-30 beat | 1.81 | 2.05 | +13.0% | -1.1% | -0.8% | +6.9% | +10.0% |
| 2019-03-07 beat | 1.69 | 2.01 | +19.0% | +4.0% | +5.1% | +2.5% | +8.2% |
| 2018-12-13 miss | 1.62 | 1.61 | -0.7% | -3.8% | -8.6% | -6.1% | +1.5% |
| 2018-10-04 beat | 2.34 | 2.36 | +0.7% | -2.9% | -5.6% | +3.7% | +7.1% |
| 2018-05-31 beat | 1.70 | 1.70 | +0.3% | -1.4% | -0.6% | +3.4% | +5.5% |
| 2018-03-07 beat | 1.51 | 1.59 | +5.2% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2017-12-14 beat | 1.35 | 1.36 | +0.9% | +3.7% | +3.3% | -3.2% | -0.6% |
| 2017-10-05 beat | 2.02 | 2.08 | +2.9% | -4.8% | -6.0% | +1.8% | +5.1% |
| 2017-05-25 beat | 1.30 | 1.59 | +22.7% | +3.2% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -10.5% |
| 2017-03-02 miss | 1.36 | 1.17 | -13.8% | -4.1% | -4.3% | -2.9% | -2.1% |
| 2016-12-07 beat | 1.19 | 1.24 | +4.3% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +1.6% | +2.6% |
| 2016-09-29 beat | 1.73 | 1.77 | +2.5% | +2.9% | +3.4% | -1.7% | -3.0% |
| 2016-05-25 beat | 1.22 | 1.24 | +1.2% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +1.3% | +3.0% |
| 2016-03-02 miss | 1.28 | 1.24 | -3.2% | -2.8% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +4.0% |
| 2015-12-08 miss | 1.17 | 1.09 | -6.8% | -3.6% | -5.4% | +1.9% | -3.1% |
| 2015-09-29 beat | 1.66 | 1.73 | +4.4% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +2.3% | +9.5% |
| 2015-05-27 beat | 1.15 | 1.17 | +1.4% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -4.3% |
| 2015-03-05 beat | 1.18 | 1.35 | +14.7% | +2.4% | +2.7% | -1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2014-12-10 beat | 1.09 | 1.12 | +2.5% | +1.3% | -2.0% | -0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2014-10-08 beat | 1.52 | 1.58 | +4.0% | +2.3% | +2.8% | -3.4% | +6.5% |
| 2014-05-29 miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -2.0% | +0.3% | -0.1% | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2014-03-06 miss | 1.17 | 1.05 | -9.9% | -2.9% | -2.8% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2013-12-11 miss | 1.02 | 0.96 | -5.7% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -3.2% |
| 2013-10-09 miss | 1.46 | 1.40 | -3.8% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +2.4% | +7.1% |
| 2013-05-30 beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +1.0% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2013-03-12 beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +4.4% | +1.1% | +1.3% | -1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2012-12-12 beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +2.0% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2012-10-10 beat | 1.31 | 1.39 | +6.5% | +2.8% | +1.9% | -4.7% | -5.5% |
| 2012-05-24 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2012-02-29 beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.6% | +1.1% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +4.4% |
| 2011-12-08 beat | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.4% | -3.0% | -2.0% | -3.7% | -7.7% |
| 2011-10-05 miss | 1.10 | 1.08 | -1.7% | -0.8% | -1.7% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.