CPT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.7% | 2.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 0.9% | 80% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +2.2% | 3.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.18 | -34.0% | -1.4% | -2.2% | +1.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.25 | -0.24 | -196.4% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.28 | 0.39 | +39.9% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +1.8% | -2.8% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -23.2% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +0.9% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -6.9% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -1.3% | +1.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +29.5% | +3.0% | +5.3% | -2.4% | -2.6% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -11.9% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +23.4% | -5.2% | -1.8% | +7.0% | +7.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.9% | +0.8% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +7.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.1% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.