CPT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 1.5% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.6% | 3.6% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.18 | -34.0% | -1.4% | -2.2% | +1.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.25 | -0.24 | -196.4% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.28 | 0.39 | +39.9% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +1.8% | -2.8% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -23.2% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +0.9% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -6.9% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -1.3% | +1.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +29.5% | +3.0% | +5.3% | -2.4% | -2.6% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -11.9% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +23.4% | -5.2% | -1.8% | +7.0% | +7.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.9% | +0.8% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +7.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.1% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +1.1% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -3.2% | +0.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +13.4% | -1.0% | -6.6% | +7.8% | +6.5% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +19.6% | +0.5% | +1.9% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +22.7% | +0.4% | +3.3% | +0.3% | -5.3% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.31 | 0.42 | +35.6% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +0.9% | -8.0% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -3.2% | -3.4% | +0.1% | -3.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.55 | 0.22 | -60.3% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -6.1% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.49 | 0.42 | -13.9% | -0.8% | -3.2% | -5.2% | -8.5% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.44 | 0.37 | -16.9% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.39 | 0.29 | -25.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +1.3% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 0.34 | 0.30 | -12.9% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.1% | -0.7% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +6.0% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | 0.35 | 0.30 | -15.9% | +0.5% | -1.8% | +4.7% | +0.7% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +20.8% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +3.6% | +7.0% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.17 | -37.4% | -0.8% | -2.3% | -2.1% | +0.1% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.48 | 0.43 | -10.7% | +1.5% | +1.4% | -5.3% | +12.8% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.40 | 0.57 | +43.2% | +0.2% | +1.4% | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.8% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -3.7% | -3.6% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.48 | 0.43 | -9.5% | -1.7% | -1.6% | -1.9% | +1.3% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -6.7% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.