CQP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 2.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -1.5% | 1.3% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.4% | 4.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.01 | 1.30 | +28.6% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +1.9% | +4.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.22 | 1.71 | +40.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 1.11 | 1.36 | +22.2% | -0.5% | +3.3% | +5.5% | +6.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 1.11 | 1.09 | -1.8% | -1.1% | +0.4% | -5.0% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.96 | 0.81 | -15.5% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.12 | 1.41 | +25.6% | +1.1% | -3.0% | +7.4% | -0.5% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.07 | 1.09 | +2.4% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +4.8% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.97 | 1.01 | +3.8% | +0.7% | +2.3% | -1.0% | +16.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.97 | 0.97 | — | +0.7% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.08 | 1.32 | +22.0% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -6.2% | -6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.