CQP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.4% | 3.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -1.3% | 1.6% | 27% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.2% | 5.8% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.01 | 1.30 | +28.6% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +1.9% | +4.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.22 | 1.71 | +40.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 1.11 | 1.36 | +22.2% | -0.5% | +3.3% | +5.5% | +6.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 1.11 | 1.09 | -1.8% | -1.1% | +0.4% | -5.0% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.96 | 0.81 | -15.5% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.12 | 1.41 | +25.6% | +1.1% | -3.0% | +7.4% | -0.5% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.07 | 1.09 | +2.4% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +4.8% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.97 | 1.01 | +3.8% | +0.7% | +2.3% | -1.0% | +16.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.97 | 0.97 | — | +0.7% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.08 | 1.32 | +22.0% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -6.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.41 | +39.3% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -5.0% | -3.6% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -5.3% | +0.5% | +3.1% | -2.2% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.91 | 0.81 | -10.7% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -6.8% | +2.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.28 | 1.37 | +7.7% | +0.9% | -1.9% | +2.0% | +0.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 1.72 | 2.50 | +44.9% | +3.8% | +7.1% | -6.2% | -17.2% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.85 | 2.26 | +22.5% | -1.4% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +2.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.01 | 1.26 | +24.9% | -0.6% | -2.6% | +4.9% | +14.9% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.94 | 1.39 | +48.7% | +1.5% | +5.4% | -11.7% | -7.0% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.85 | 1.11 | +30.5% | +6.7% | +8.4% | +6.6% | +6.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.70 | 0.81 | +15.6% | +1.4% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -7.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +17.5% | +2.6% | -1.3% | +4.5% | +4.8% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.87 | +37.6% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -4.1% | -1.7% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.69 | 0.86 | +25.5% | +0.8% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | 0.28 | -0.01 | -103.5% | -2.4% | -4.6% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.54 | 0.91 | +69.0% | -1.4% | +2.7% | +5.6% | -8.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.65 | 0.82 | +26.6% | +0.0% | -5.3% | -5.5% | +3.5% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.2% | +0.9% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -29.6% |
| 2019-11-01 miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -4.2% | -3.0% | -2.1% | -3.0% | -12.1% |
| 2019-08-08 miss | 0.56 | 0.43 | -23.2% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.5% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +1.0% | -0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.