CTVA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -1.2% | 5.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -0.7% | 1.8% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.1% | 7.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.23 | 2.30 | +2.9% | -6.0% | -11.9% | -2.4% | +7.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.18 | 1.50 | +27.1% | -2.0% | -2.5% | +1.9% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.6% | -2.6% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | -0.47 | -0.23 | +50.6% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +4.4% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.88 | 2.20 | +17.1% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.88 | 1.13 | +28.2% | +3.4% | +7.0% | +2.1% | +7.7% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.5% | -0.4% | -2.3% | +0.8% | -3.4% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -0.30 | -0.49 | -64.4% | -6.1% | -5.0% | -2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.72 | 1.83 | +6.2% | -3.8% | -5.5% | -2.7% | +8.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +7.3% | +5.7% | +5.7% | +1.5% | -2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.