CTVA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 6.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 3.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.1% | 8.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.23 | 2.30 | +2.9% | -6.0% | -11.9% | -2.4% | +7.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.18 | 1.50 | +27.1% | -2.0% | -2.5% | +1.9% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.6% | -2.6% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | -0.47 | -0.23 | +50.6% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +4.4% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.88 | 2.20 | +17.1% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.88 | 1.13 | +28.2% | +3.4% | +7.0% | +2.1% | +7.7% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.5% | -0.4% | -2.3% | +0.8% | -3.4% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -0.30 | -0.49 | -64.4% | -6.1% | -5.0% | -2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.72 | 1.83 | +6.2% | -3.8% | -5.5% | -2.7% | +8.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +7.3% | +5.7% | +5.7% | +1.5% | -2.5% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +170.0% | +24.2% | +18.9% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +10.0% | -2.5% | -1.8% | +5.0% | -4.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.58 | 1.60 | +1.2% | -1.1% | +0.6% | -6.4% | -9.0% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.93 | 1.16 | +24.5% | +0.6% | -5.2% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +153.2% | -3.3% | -3.8% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.22 | -0.12 | +46.4% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.46 | 1.64 | +12.3% | +3.2% | +4.9% | +6.7% | +4.2% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.81 | 0.97 | +19.4% | -4.7% | -1.9% | -6.9% | +6.3% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -14.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +5.0% | +5.5% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.31 | -0.14 | +54.4% | +1.5% | +5.8% | +0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.27 | 1.40 | +10.6% | +6.2% | +8.0% | +2.7% | -1.0% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.65 | 0.79 | +21.4% | -4.5% | -4.2% | -5.2% | -3.6% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | -0.04 | 0.04 | +190.7% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | -0.42 | -0.39 | +7.0% | +1.1% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +11.8% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 1.24 | 1.26 | +2.0% | -5.8% | -11.0% | +5.9% | +15.3% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.39 | 0.59 | +50.3% | +3.8% | +5.8% | -11.8% | +13.5% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | -0.12 | 0.07 | +158.4% | +0.5% | +5.2% | +8.0% | -3.4% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | -0.45 | -0.39 | +14.0% | -3.6% | -4.0% | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 1.02 | 1.42 | +39.4% | +0.0% | +5.9% | +1.2% | -6.2% |
| 2019-05-31 miss | 0.44 | 0.36 | -18.2% | -1.0% | -6.4% | -2.4% | +10.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.