CW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -1.4% | 4.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.9% | 2.2% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +0.7% | 1.2% | 90% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +3.9% | 8.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 3.62 | 3.72 | +2.8% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -3.5% | -20.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 3.30 | 3.48 | +5.3% | +1.0% | -2.5% | +3.6% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 3.69 | 3.79 | +2.8% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +5.4% | +1.9% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 3.29 | 3.40 | +3.3% | -3.8% | -1.6% | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 3.13 | 3.23 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -7.0% | +4.0% | +2.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.39 | 2.82 | +18.2% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +7.7% | +21.7% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 3.09 | 3.27 | +5.9% | +5.3% | -1.2% | -6.4% | -2.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.69 | 2.97 | +10.3% | +1.8% | -2.5% | +9.4% | +6.8% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 2.29 | 2.67 | +16.7% | +2.3% | +6.9% | +5.4% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.72 | 1.99 | +15.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% | +5.4% | +7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.