CW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.6% | 3.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.2% | 2.3% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 2.8% | 63% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +2.0% | 7.6% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 3.62 | 3.72 | +2.8% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -3.5% | -20.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 3.30 | 3.48 | +5.3% | +1.0% | -2.5% | +3.6% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 3.69 | 3.79 | +2.8% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +5.4% | +1.9% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 3.29 | 3.40 | +3.3% | -3.8% | -1.6% | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 3.13 | 3.23 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -7.0% | +4.0% | +2.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.39 | 2.82 | +18.2% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +7.7% | +21.7% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 3.09 | 3.27 | +5.9% | +5.3% | -1.2% | -6.4% | -2.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.69 | 2.97 | +10.3% | +1.8% | -2.5% | +9.4% | +6.8% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 2.29 | 2.67 | +16.7% | +2.3% | +6.9% | +5.4% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.72 | 1.99 | +15.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% | +5.4% | +7.1% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.92 | 3.16 | +8.2% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 2.38 | 2.54 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +6.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.98 | 2.15 | +8.5% | +4.5% | +4.8% | +3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +0.3% | -4.6% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 2.91 | 2.92 | +0.3% | +1.9% | +3.6% | -1.3% | -6.3% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 2.02 | 2.07 | +2.4% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +5.7% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 1.69 | 1.83 | +8.3% | +0.4% | +2.9% | -1.3% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.20 | 1.31 | +9.4% | -2.1% | -6.5% | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 2.37 | 2.40 | +1.5% | -3.3% | +0.7% | +13.8% | +16.0% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 1.82 | 1.88 | +3.5% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.54 | 1.56 | +1.2% | -1.7% | -1.4% | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.30 | 1.51 | +16.1% | -0.2% | +2.2% | -2.7% | -3.7% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 2.34 | 2.39 | +2.4% | +0.1% | -6.1% | +1.5% | +5.4% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 1.54 | 1.85 | +20.4% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +14.2% | +36.9% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 1.28 | 1.31 | +2.6% | +0.8% | +5.8% | +12.0% | +7.8% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 1.29 | 1.34 | +3.6% | -1.8% | -3.9% | -5.8% | +27.2% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 2.08 | 2.12 | +2.0% | -2.2% | -5.8% | +0.1% | -23.8% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.83 | 1.95 | +6.6% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.77 | 1.90 | +7.1% | -1.5% | -2.3% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 1.16 | 1.30 | +11.6% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +3.5% | +4.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.