D chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 1.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +1.1% | 3.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +17.2% | -0.5% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.4% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +4.0% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.4% | +0.3% | -2.6% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.8% | +0.4% | -1.4% | +4.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +10.7% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +2.3% | -2.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.76 | 0.93 | +23.2% | +4.2% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +4.6% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.5% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.65 | +14.4% | +0.2% | +3.7% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.6% | +2.0% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.