D chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.5% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.5% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | +0.8% | 4.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +17.2% | -0.5% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.4% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +4.0% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.4% | +0.3% | -2.6% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.8% | +0.4% | -1.4% | +4.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +10.7% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +2.3% | -2.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.76 | 0.93 | +23.2% | +4.2% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +4.6% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.5% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.65 | +14.4% | +0.2% | +3.7% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.6% | +2.0% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.36 | 0.29 | -18.8% | -1.4% | -1.5% | +4.9% | +6.0% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.77 | 0.77 | +0.3% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +3.1% | +6.2% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.5% | +0.2% | -3.0% | +0.8% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +1.9% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -2.3% | -8.6% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +2.1% | -2.9% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -10.7% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 1.08 | 1.18 | +9.6% | -2.7% | -3.0% | -8.1% | -13.2% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.0% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +0.9% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2022-02-11 miss | 0.91 | 0.90 | -1.0% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +2.5% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 1.06 | 1.11 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +1.4% | -2.3% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.