DD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.1% | +4.4% | 3.1% | 90% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +4.0% | +2.3% | 4.8% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.76 | 1.88 | +6.8% | -7.8% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -7.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.65 | +13.6% | +1.6% | +8.4% | +2.6% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 1.29 | 1.38 | +6.6% | +2.6% | +4.9% | +3.9% | -8.3% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 2.94 | 3.27 | +11.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.7% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 3.18 | 3.36 | +5.5% | +6.8% | +2.4% | -0.9% | +6.3% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.86 | 3.09 | +8.1% | -0.4% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 2.94 | 3.39 | +15.3% | +4.6% | +6.8% | +1.2% | -8.1% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 3.09 | 3.54 | +14.7% | +3.8% | +4.7% | -3.9% | -4.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.56 | 2.91 | +13.7% | +4.2% | +4.1% | -7.7% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.95 | 2.37 | +21.7% | +6.1% | +8.0% | -0.1% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.