DD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.4% | 5.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 2.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 47% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +2.2% | 7.2% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.76 | 1.88 | +6.8% | -7.8% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -7.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.65 | +13.6% | +1.6% | +8.4% | +2.6% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 1.29 | 1.38 | +6.6% | +2.6% | +4.9% | +3.9% | -8.3% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 2.94 | 3.27 | +11.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.7% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 3.18 | 3.36 | +5.5% | +6.8% | +2.4% | -0.9% | +6.3% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.86 | 3.09 | +8.1% | -0.4% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 2.94 | 3.39 | +15.3% | +4.6% | +6.8% | +1.2% | -8.1% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 3.09 | 3.54 | +14.7% | +3.8% | +4.7% | -3.9% | -4.6% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.56 | 2.91 | +13.7% | +4.2% | +4.1% | -7.7% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.95 | 2.37 | +21.7% | +6.1% | +8.0% | -0.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.53 | 2.61 | +3.1% | +5.3% | +7.4% | +1.7% | +8.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 2.53 | 2.76 | +8.9% | -4.1% | -8.2% | +2.2% | +8.2% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.48 | 2.55 | +2.6% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.39 | 2.52 | +5.3% | -7.8% | -6.3% | -1.2% | +3.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.34 | 2.67 | +14.0% | +4.1% | +7.5% | -1.7% | -9.0% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 2.37 | 2.46 | +3.9% | +6.8% | +7.4% | +6.6% | +5.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.25 | 2.64 | +17.2% | -1.2% | -2.7% | +0.1% | -5.0% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.02 | 2.46 | +22.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -4.6% | +3.7% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.99 | 3.24 | +8.3% | +3.4% | +6.3% | +1.9% | -10.0% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 3.35 | 3.45 | +3.0% | +1.9% | +8.8% | +4.6% | -2.9% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 2.85 | 3.18 | +11.7% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +3.8% | -1.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 2.30 | 2.73 | +18.9% | -1.3% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +7.4% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 2.56 | 2.85 | +11.4% | -1.0% | -3.0% | -4.7% | +4.7% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.24 | 2.64 | +18.1% | -1.2% | +3.7% | +3.8% | +9.5% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.77 | 2.10 | +18.5% | -3.5% | -3.2% | +1.8% | +6.4% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 2.48 | 2.52 | +1.5% | +2.8% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +23.0% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 2.86 | 2.85 | -0.4% | -4.2% | -8.6% | +2.1% | -14.7% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 2.86 | 2.88 | +0.8% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +8.6% | -1.6% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 2.47 | 2.91 | +18.0% | +1.4% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -5.2% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 7.62 | 7.56 | -0.8% | -1.1% | -7.1% | -10.6% | +3.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.